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Numerical models built as virtual-twins of a real structure (digital-twins) are considered the future ofmonitoring systems. Their setup requires the estimation of unknown parameters, which are not directly measurable. Stochastic model identification is then essential, which can be computationally costly and even unfeasible when it comes to real applications. Efficient surrogate models, such as reduced-order method, can be used to overcome this limitation and provide real time model identification. Since their numerical accuracy influences the identification process, the optimal surrogate not only has to be computationally efficient, but also accurate with respect to the identified parameters. This work aims at automatically controlling the Proper Generalized Decomposition (PGD) surrogate’s numerical accuracy for parameter identification. For this purpose, a sequence of Bayesian model identification problems, in which the surrogate’s accuracy is iteratively increased, is solved with a variational Bayesian inference procedure. The effect of the numerical accuracy on the resulting posteriors probability density functions is analyzed through two metrics, the Bayes Factor (BF) and a criterion based on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. The approach is demonstrated by a simple test example and by two structural problems. The latter aims to identify spatially distributed damage, modeled with a PGD surrogate extended for log-normal random fields, in two different structures: a truss with synthetic data and a small, reinforced bridge with real measurement data. For all examples, the evolution of the KL-based and BF criteria for increased accuracy is shown and their convergence indicates when model refinement no longer affects the identification results.
There is a rising attention of using numerical models for effcient structural monitoring and ensuring the structure's safety. Setting up virtual models as twin for real structures requires a model identification process calculating the unknown model parameters, which mostly are only indirectly measurable. This is a computationally very costly inverse optimization process, which often makes it unfeasible for real applications. Effcient surrogate models such as reduced order models can be used, to overcome this limitation. But the influence of the model accuracy on the identification process has then to be considered. The aim is to automatically control the influence of the model's accuracy on the identification. Here, a variational Bayesian inference approach[3] is coupled with a reduced forward model using the Proper Generalized Decomposition (PGD) method. The influence of the model accuracy on the inference result is studied and measured. Therefore, besides the commonly used Bayes factor the Kullback-Leibler divergences between the predicted posterior pdfs are proposed. In an adaptive inference procedure, the surrogate's accuracy is iteratively increased, and the convergence of the posterior pdf is analysed. The proposed adaptive identification process is applied to the identification of spatially distributed damage modeled by a random eld for a simple example with synthetic data as well as a small, reinforced bridge with real measurement data. It is shown that the proposed criteria can mirror the influence of the model accuracy and can be used to automatically select a suffciently accurate surrogate model.
With increasing focus on industrialized processing, investigating, understanding, and modelling the structural build-up of cementitious materials becomes more important. The structural build-up governs the key property of fresh printable materials -- buildability -- and it influences the mechanical properties after the deposition. The structural build-up rate can be adjusted by optimization of the mixture composition and the use of concrete admixtures. Additionally, it is known, that the environmental conditions, i.e. humidity and temperature have a significant impact on the kinetic of cement hydration and the resulting hardened properties, such as shrinkage, cracking resistance etc. In this study, small amplitude oscillatory shear (SAOS) tests are applied to examine the structural build-up rate of cement paste subject to different temperatures under controlled humidity. The results indicate significant influences of the ambient temperature on the intensity of the re-flocculation (Rthix) rate, while the structuration rate (Athix) is almost not affected. A bi-linear thixotropy model extended by temperature dependent parameters coupled with a linear viscoelastic material model is proposed to simulate the mechanical behaviour considering the structural build-up during the SAOS test.
With increasing focus on industrialized processing, investigating, understanding, and modelling the structural build-up of cementitious materials becomes more important. The structural build-up governs the key property of fresh printable materials -- buildability -- and it influences the mechanical properties after the deposition. The structural build-up rate can be adjusted by optimization of the mixture composition and the use of concrete admixtures. Additionally, it is known, that the environmental conditions, i.e. humidity and temperature have a significant impact on the kinetic of cement hydration and the resulting hardened properties, such as shrinkage, cracking resistance etc. In this study, small amplitude oscillatory shear (SAOS) tests are applied to examine the structural build-up rate of cement paste subject to different temperatures under controlled humidity. The results indicate significant influences of the ambient temperature on the intensity of the re-flocculation (Rthix) rate, while the structuration rate (Athix) is almost not affected. A bi-linear thixotropy model extended by temperature dependent parameters coupled with a linear viscoelastic material model is proposed to simulate the mechanical behaviour considering the structural build-up during the SAOS test