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Paper des Monats
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Eingeladener Vortrag
- nein (23)
In materials and component research, artificial intelligence methodologies will lead to massive upheavals in the coming years. The processes of material development, material processing, lifetime prediction and material characterization will change significantly. By combining AI methods and new forms of knowledge representation, the data-based management of product life cycles will take on new qualities. To address this emerging field of research Fraunhofer IWM set up the online workshop »AI Methods for Fatigue Behavior Assessment and Component Lifetime Prediction«
In this paper, the imperialist competitive optimization algorithm is improved by damage functions to detect damage in a model steel frame test structure for offshore applications. A finite element model of the test structure is developed, validated and updated using the proposed method. As there are much more design variables, which are related to the stiffness of each finite element than the measured mode shapes, the problem is underdetermined. Therefore, damage functions are used to regularize the problem and decrease the number of design variables. A new objective function is proposed for the algorithm using the mode shapes and their l1 norm. The first ten measured mode shapes are used to solve the problem. It is shown that the proposed method is capable of predicting the damage locations with acceptable accuracy.
A safe and robust performance is a key criterion when building and maintaining structures and components. Ensuring this criterion at different stages of the lifetime can be supported by applying continuous monitoring concepts. The latter usually can serve multiple purposes, including the determination of material parameters for the design phase, the evaluation of the actual loading/environmental conditions (instead of using conservative estimates that are usually larger) and evaluating or predicting the true performance of the structure (thus decreasing the model bias). In this context, a digital twin of the structure has many benefits. In addition, it allows to introduce virtual sensors to “measure” sensor information that is e.g. inaccessible or unmeasureable. In the limit, the remaining useful life of a structure can be interpreted as a property that can be “measured” indirectly via the numerical model in combination with real sensor data. In order to efficiently use monitoring techniques in the context of a digital twin, it is important to consider the complete chain of information including the choice of sensors, the data processing and structuring, the modelling assumptions, the numerical simulation and finally the stochastic nature of the model prediction. In this presentation, challenges in this context are discussed with a specific focus on Bayesian model updating of the digital twin, accounting for both parameter updates as well as model bias that results from the limitations of modelling assumption. A bottleneck in this approach is the computational effort related to sampling methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that require many evaluations of the forward model. An alternative to the expensive computation of the forward model for updating the digital twin is the combination with model reduction techniques such as the Proper General Decomposition. The results are illustrated for several examples and scales, ranging from digitals twin for material tests in the lab over lab scale structural digital twins up to damage identification in field experiments.
A safe and robust performance is a key criterion when building and maintaining structures and component. Ensuring this criterion at different stages of the lifetime can be supported by applying continuous monitoring concepts. The latter usually can serve multiple purposes, including the determination of material parameters for the design phase, the evaluation of the actual loading/environmental conditions (instead of using conservative estimates that are usually larger) and evaluating or predicting the true performance of the structure (thus decreasing the model bias). In this context, a digital twin of the structure has many benefits. It allows to introduce virtual sensors to “measure” sensor information that is e.g. inaccessible or unmeasureable. In order to efficiently use monitoring techniques in the context of a digital twin, it is important to consider the complete chain of information including the choice of sensors, the data processing and structuring, the modelling assumptions, the numerical simulation and finally the stochastic nature of the model prediction. In this presentation, challenges in this context are discussed with a specific focus on Bayesian model updating of the digital twin, accounting for both parameter updates as well as model bias that results from the limitations of modelling assumption. A bottleneck in this approach is the computational effort related to sampling methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo methods that require many evaluations of the forward model. An alternative to the expensive computation of the forward model for updating the digital twin is the combination with model reduction techniques such as the Proper General Decomposition [1, 2]. The results are illustrated for several examples and scale, ranging from digitals twin for material tests in the lab over lab scale structural digital twins up to damage identification in field experiments.
A three-phase transport model for high-temperature concrete simulations validated with X-ray CT data
(2021)
Concrete exposure to high temperatures induces thermo-hygral phenomena, causing water phase changes, buildup of pore pressure and vulnerability to spalling. In order to predict these phenomena under various conditions, a three-phase transport model is proposed. The model is validated on X-ray CT data up to 320 ◦C, showing good agreement of the temperature profiles and moisture changes. A dehydration description, traditionally derived from thermogravimetric analysis, was replaced by a formulation based on data from neutron radiography. In addition, treating porosity and dehydration evolution as independent processes, previous approaches do not fulfil the solid mass balance. As a consequence, a new formulation is proposed that introduces the porosity as an independent variable, ensuring the latter condition.
Numerical models built as virtual-twins of a real structure (digital-twins) are considered the future ofmonitoring systems. Their setup requires the estimation of unknown parameters, which are not directly measurable. Stochastic model identification is then essential, which can be computationally costly and even unfeasible when it comes to real applications. Efficient surrogate models, such as reduced-order method, can be used to overcome this limitation and provide real time model identification. Since their numerical accuracy influences the identification process, the optimal surrogate not only has to be computationally efficient, but also accurate with respect to the identified parameters. This work aims at automatically controlling the Proper Generalized Decomposition (PGD) surrogate’s numerical accuracy for parameter identification. For this purpose, a sequence of Bayesian model identification problems, in which the surrogate’s accuracy is iteratively increased, is solved with a variational Bayesian inference procedure. The effect of the numerical accuracy on the resulting posteriors probability density functions is analyzed through two metrics, the Bayes Factor (BF) and a criterion based on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. The approach is demonstrated by a simple test example and by two structural problems. The latter aims to identify spatially distributed damage, modeled with a PGD surrogate extended for log-normal random fields, in two different structures: a truss with synthetic data and a small, reinforced bridge with real measurement data. For all examples, the evolution of the KL-based and BF criteria for increased accuracy is shown and their convergence indicates when model refinement no longer affects the identification results.