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Eingeladener Vortrag
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The current practice of periodic retesting of composite pressure receptacles primarily based on the hydraulic pressure test has to be evaluated as critical.
This is justified by micro damages caused to the specimen by the test
itself and by a lack of informative values. Thus, BAM Federal Institute of Materials Research and Testing uses a new validation approach in the case of retest periods of more than 5 years. It enables the description of the condition of a specific design type series based on destructive tests parallel to operation. With respect to this approach it is explained how the statistical evaluation of sample tests and their extrapolation to end of life or at least to the time of next retesting can be achieved. In addition, it is explained how the reliability limits may be linked to the size and pressure level of the respective composite pressure receptacle. The frame of this safety Approach includes the influence of the maximum working pressure on the safety assessment.
One topic of this approach is the introduction of the working diagram
essential for safety assessments that allows graphical evaluation of load cycle strength by mean value, scatter and survival rate of samples as well as instruction how to use it. For this, it is explained how the number of filling cycles and the reduction of the respective hydraulic residual cycle strength interacts with the newly introduced value of specific filling sensitivity.
Composite materials show a degradation of properties depending on service life. This creates the necessity to find tailored methods to determine strength and residual strength of composite cylinders. The determination can be done e.g. by load cycles tests. The result needs a statistical assessment for the precise description of strength. Especially the statistical assessment of load cycle strength properties has a high uncertainty. It is unclear if a Log-Normal distribution, a WEIBULL distribution or others, describe the scatter behaviour of residual strength properties correctly.
Distribution functions aim at approximating the frequency of occurrence of residual load cycle strength for high survival rates. An assumption has to be found and confirmed to prevent over-estimation of reliability.
The presentation starts with some key figures about BAM. Then it introduces BAM's competence centre H2Safety@BAM and shows aspects of special competence of the centre. It closes with information about the engagement of BAM in European research projects on hydrogen and a reference to our bilingual paper about our hydrogen strategy.
Based on the preliminary presentations in this task force it is repeated how a basic population scatters and its degradation influences properties statistically. There is a remainder on the issue of accepting borderline populations due to the minimum burst ratio requirement.
Then it is explained in detail how the analysis of minimum requirements by a Monte-Carlo-simulation works. The result with respect to the further reduced minimum burst ratio of 2.0 is summarised and means a two-step approach of two scatter levels requiring two different minimum burst ratios.
The methods for evaluating batch tests are analysed. A proposal for integration a statistical analysis is described in detail.
Finally, the positive effect of proof testing is shown and its dependence from the real ageing is shown.
This ends in the recommendation to have a stronger and quantitative look on real ageing and to follow the 2 proposed sets of criteria for a safe usage of hydrogen storage systems.
Safety aspects of the storage containments of hydrogen are independent from the kind of usage: The main criteria is the resistance against the pressure load. On the 2nd level there are aspects specific to the usage as e.g. crash loads etc.
Safety is achieved when the probability (frequency) of a failure during the service life is acceptable!
But an aspect common for all usages is the scatter of properties resulting from the material and the production. Therefore, it is worth to have a look on the current approach of minimum burst ratios from an unknown point of view: the basic populations of a product – based on exemplarily assessments.
According to this approach, several diagrams with Monte-Carlo generated basic populations in new and aged conditions have been shown. Thus, it has been demonstrated that not the conditions at the begin of life are the critical ones. No, the end of life properties are the critical ones.
This has been combined with the acceptance rate of borderline basic populations. The approach of minimum burst ratios leads to the acceptance rate of 40 % and higher for the approval of critical basic populations – critical due to their production scatter.
This problem becomes much more critical when taking into account the unknown effects of degradation and in-service ageing.
Therefore, we cannot support the proposed reduction of minimum burst ratio without having a stronger assessment of production scatter.
Faserverbundwerkstoffe (Komposite) zeigen außergewöhnliche Veränderungen ihrer Eigenschaften in Abhängigkeit von der Betriebsdauer. Daraus leitet sich auch die Notwendigkeit ab, eine Methode zu finden, die in der Lage ist, Festigkeiten und Restfestigkeiten von Komposit-Druckbehältern zu ermitteln. Dies kann mittels Lastwechselprüfung oder in anderen Fällen vorzugsweise mittels der langsamen Berstprüfung erfolgen. Für eine aussagekräftige Beschreibung der Festigkeit bedürfen die Ergebnisse beider Prüfverfahren einer statistischen Auswertung. Aber insbesondere die statistische Auswertung der berstbezogenen Festigkeitseigenschaften unterliegt neben der Frage der Stichprobengröße einer großen Unsicherheit mit enormen Folgen. Dies ist die Frage, welche Verteilungsfunktion der Streuung der Festigkeitseigenschaft konservativ zugrundegelegt werden darf. So ist zu untersuchen, ob die Gaußsche Normalverteilung (NV) die wahre Verteilung richtig beschreibt. Es könnten aber auch andere Funktionen, wie z. B. die Weibull-Verteilung notwendig sein, um eine Überschätzung der Überlebenswahrscheinlichkeit bzw. Zuverlässigkeit in dem interessanten Bereich von einem Ausfall pro 104 bis 108 Druckbehältern zu vermeiden.
Dr Mair presents the competence centre “H2Safety@BAM”. He starts with a spectacular hydrogen accident on the Tempelhofer Feld (Berlin) in 1894, comes to the foundation of the competence centre in the context of the hydrogen strategies of Germany and the EU and explains their safety-focused orientation in order to create and maintain confidence in hydrogen technologies.
Beyond the long-term changes in energy supply, in Sept. 2022 there are enormous cost leaps in gas supply, which puts hydrogen as an energy carrier in a different light.
Based on this, he presents the structure of the Competence Centre with its 5 competence areas and the corresponding contact persons. This is underpinned by a slide on each of the work packages in the fields of competence.
At the end of the presentation, he explains the focus of the competence area "Component Testing, Component Safety and Approval", for which he is responsible. This is the question of cost reduction by using the whole potential of digitalisation in connection with the safety surveillance of the storage systems. The run of a fully digital system is of great importance for both, for the hydrogen supply of large consumers via road and rail and for storage systems in stationary plants. A robust and well-thought-out digitalisation in all levels of documentation will lead to a new quality in monitoring safety porperties, integration of new components and cost reduction.