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Estimating the frequency and magnitude of natural hazards largely hinges on stationary models, which do not account for changes in the climatological, hydrological, and geophysical baseline conditions. Using five diverse case studies encompassing various natural hazard types, we present advanced statistical and machine learning methods to analyze and model transient states from long‐term inventory data. A novel storminess metric reveals increasing European winter windstorm severity from 1950 to 2010. Non‐stationary extreme value models quantify trends, seasonal shifts, and regional differences in extreme precipitation for Germany between 1941 and 2021. Utilizing quantile sampling and empirical mode decomposition on 148 years of daily weather and discharge data in the European Alps, we assess the impacts of changing snow cover, precipitation, and anthropogenic river network modifications on river runoff. Moreover, a probabilistic framework estimates return periods of glacier lake outburst floods in the Himalayas, demonstrating large differences in 100‐year flood levels. Utilizing a Bayesian change point algorithm, we track the onset of increased seismicity in the southern central United States and find correlation with wastewater injections into deep wells. In conclusion, data science reveals transient states for very different natural hazard types, characterized by diverse forms of change, ranging from gradual trends to sudden change points and from altered seasonality to overall intensity variations. In synergy with the physical understanding of Earth science, we gain important new insights into the dynamics of the studied hazards and their possible mechanisms.
Metaproteomics has matured into a powerful tool to assess functional interactions in microbial communities. While many metaproteomic workflows are available, the impact of method choice on results remains unclear. Here, we carry out a community-driven, multi-laboratory comparison in metaproteomics: the critical assessment of metaproteome investigation study (CAMPI). Based on well-established workflows, we evaluate the effect of sample preparation, mass spectrometry, and bioinformatic analysis using two samples: a simplified, laboratory-assembled human intestinal model and a human fecal sample. We observe that variability at the peptide level is predominantly due to sample processing workflows, with a smaller contribution of bioinformatic pipelines. These peptide-level differences largely disappear at the protein group level. While differences are observed for predicted community composition, similar functional profiles are obtained across workflows. CAMPI demonstrates the robustness of present-day metaproteomics research, serves as a template for multi-laboratory studies in metaproteomics, and provides publicly available data sets for benchmarking future developments.
Driven by recent technological advances and the need for improved viral diagnostic applications, mass spectrometry-based proteomics comes into play for detecting viral pathogens accurately and efficiently. However, the lack of specific algorithms and software tools presents a major bottleneck for analyzing data from host-virus samples. For example, accurate species- and strain-level classification of a priori unidentified organisms remains a very challenging task in the setting of large search databases. Another prominent issue is that many existing solutions suffer from the protein inference issue, aggravated because many homologous proteins are present across multiple species. One of the contributing factors is that existing bioinformatic algorithms have been developed mainly for single-species proteomics applications for model organisms or human samples. In addition, a statistically sound framework was lacking to accurately assign peptide identifications to viral taxa. In this presentation, an overview is given on current bioinformatics developments that aim to overcome the above-mentioned issues using algorithmic and statistical methods. The presented methods and software tools aim to provide tailored solutions for both discovery-driven and targeted proteomics for viral diagnostics and taxonomic sample profiling. Furthermore, an outlook is provided on how the bioinformatic developments might serve as a generic toolbox, which can be transferred to other research questions, such as metaproteomics for profiling microbiomes and identifying bacterial pathogens.
Data science (digitalisation and artificial intelligence) became more than an important facilitator for many domains in fundamental and applied sciences as well as industry and is disrupting the way of research already to a large extent. Originally, data sciences were viewed to be well-suited, especially, for data-intensive applications such as image processing, pattern recognition, etc. In the recent past, particularly, data-driven and physics-inspired machine learning methods have been developed to an extent that they accelerate numerical simulations and became directly usable for applications related to the nuclear waste management cycle. In addition to process-based approaches for creating surrogate models, other disciplines such as virtual reality methods and high-performance computing are leveraging the potential of data sciences more and more. The present challenge is utilising the best models, input data and monitoring information to integrate multi-chemical-physical, coupled processes, multi-scale and probabilistic simulations in Digital Twins (DTw) able to mirror or predict the performance of its corresponding physical twins. Therefore, the main target of the Topical Collection is exploring how the development of DTw can benefit the development of safe, efficient solutions for the pre-disposal and disposal of radioactive waste. A particular challenge for DTw in radioactive waste management is the combination of concepts from geological modelling and underground construction which will be addressed by linking structural and multi-physics/chemistry process models to building or tunnel information models. As for technical systems, engineered structures a variety of DTw approaches already exist, the development of DTw concepts for geological systems poses a particular challenge when taking the complexities (structures and processes) and uncertainties at extremely varying time and spatial scales of subsurface environments into account.
Ellipsometry has been an extremely successful and fast expanding method in the past decades along with other related techniques using polarisation sensitive measurements. Opening new fields of application for a successful measurement technique brings some requirements and issues that have to be solved. From a metrological point of view, ellipsometry has the problem that uncertainties are difficult to determine for model-based analysis techniques in general. In this presentation, we will explore how the usefulness of polarimetric methods like ellipsometry can be increased.
Ellipsometry as a method could profit from several current developments which will be discussed in this presentation:
• Standardisation initiatives on national and international level developing standards for best practice when using ellipsometry. A series of at least six standards is currently developed on national German and international level covering different levels of sample complexity.
• Projects on traceability of ellipsometry and structured surface spectrometry as well as new dielectric function database initiatives.
• Metadata handling and data ontology providing a better framework for exchange and collaborative use of research data.
We will also explore the quantification of measurement uncertainty using examples from projects in which BAM is involved. Examples will be presented of multilayer and non-ideal materials as well as the determination of layer properties for technical applications such as thin layer catalysts and complex polymers. The definition of reference materials will be discussed.