TY - CONF A1 - Simon, Patrick A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Baeßler, Matthias A1 - Recknagel, Christoph ED - Cunha, Á. ED - Caetano, E. T1 - Enhancing structural models with material tests and static response data - a case study considering a steel beam with asphalt layer subject to temperature variations T2 - International Conference on Structural Health Monitoring of Intelligent Infrastructure (SHMII-10) N2 - Gradual or sudden changes in the state of structural systems caused, for example, by deterioration or accidental load events can influence their load-bearing capacity. Structural changes can be inferred from static and/or dynamic response data measured by structural health monitoring systems. However, they may be masked by variations in the structural response due to varying environmental conditions. Particularly, the interaction of nominally load-bearing components with nominally non-load bearing components exhibiting characteristics that vary as a function of the environmental conditions can significantly affect the monitored structural response. Ignoring these effects may hamper an inference of structural changes from the monitoring data. To address this issue, we adopt a probabilistic model-based framework as a basis for developing digital twins of structural systems that enable a prediction of the structural behavior under varying ambient condition. Within this framework, different types of data obtained from real the structural system can be applied to update the digital twin of the structural system using Bayesian methods and thus enhance predictions of the structural behavior. In this contribution, we implement the framework to develop a digital twin of a simply supported steel beam with an asphalt layer. It is formulated such that it can predict the static response of the beam in function of its temperature. In a climate chamber, the beam was subject to varying temperatures and its static response wass monitored. In addition, tests are performed to determine the temperature-dependent properties of the asphalt material. Bayesian system identification is applied to enhance the predictive capabilities of the digital twin based on the observed data. T2 - International Conference on Structural Health Monitoring of Intelligent Infrastructure (SHMII-10) CY - Online meeting DA - 30.06.2021 KW - Digital twin KW - Structural health monitoring KW - Material tests KW - Bayesian updating PY - 2021 SN - 2564-3738 SP - 1537 EP - 1544 AN - OPUS4-54126 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Straub, D. ED - Matos, J.C. ED - Lourenço, P.B. ED - Oliveira, D.V. ED - Branco, J. ED - Proske, D. ED - Silva, R.A. ED - Sousa, H.S. T1 - Cumulative Failure Probability of Deteriorating Structures: Can It Drop? T2 - 18th International Probabilistic Workshop. IPW 2020. Lecture Notes in Civil Engineering N2 - The reliability of deteriorating structures at time t is quantified by the probability that failure occurs within the period leading up to time t. This probability is often referred to as cumulative failure probability and is equal to the cumulative distribution function of the time to failure. In structural reliability, an estimate of the cumulative failure probability is obtained based on probabilistic Engineering models of the deterioration processes and structural performance. Information on the condition and the loading contained in inspection and monitoring data can be included in the probability estimate through Bayesian updating. Conditioning the probability of failure on the inspection or monitoring outcomes available at time t (e.g. detections or no detection of damages) can lead to a reduction in that probability. Such a drop in the cumulative failure probability might seem counterintuitive since the cumulative failure probability is a non-decreasing function of time. In this paper, we illustrate—with the help of a numerical example—that such a drop is possible because the cumulative probability before and after the updating is not based on the same information, hence not on the same probabilistic model. T2 - 18th International Probabilistic Workshop (IPW 2020) CY - Online meeting DA - 12.05.2021 KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems KW - Time-variant reliability KW - Bayesian updating KW - Inspection KW - Monitoring PY - 2021 DO - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-73616-3_18 VL - 153 SP - 253 EP - 264 PB - Springer CY - Cham, Switzerland AN - OPUS4-52769 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -