TY - JOUR A1 - Straub, D. A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Bismut, E. A1 - Kim, H.-J. T1 - Reliability analysis of deteriorating structural systems JF - Structural Safety N2 - Reliability analysis of deteriorating structural systems requires the solution of time-variant reliability problems. In the general case, both the capacity of and the loads on the structure vary with time. This analysis can be approached by approximation through a series of time-invariant reliability problems, which is a potentially effective strategy for cases where direct solutions of the time-variant reliability problem are challenging, e.g. for structural systems with many elements or arbitrary load processes. In this contribution, we thoroughly Review the formulation of the equivalent time-invariant reliability problems and extend this approximation to structures for which inspection and monitoring data is available. Thereafter, we present methods for efficiently evaluating the reliability over time. In particular, we propose the combination of sampling-based methods with a FORM (first-order reliability method) approximation of the series system reliability problem that arises in the computation of the lifetime reliability. The framework and algorithms are demonstrated on a set of numerical examples, which include the computation of the reliability conditional on inspection data. KW - Monitoring KW - Reliability KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems KW - Bayesian analysis KW - Inspection PY - 2020 DO - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2019.101877 VL - 82 SP - Paper 101877, 1 PB - Elsevier Ltd. AN - OPUS4-48952 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Rogge, Andreas A1 - Thöns, S. A1 - Bismut, E. A1 - Straub, D. ED - Caspeele, Robby ED - Taerwe, Luc ED - Frangopol, Dan M. T1 - A sampling-based approach to identifying optimal inspection and repair strategies for offshore jacket structures T2 - Proceedings of the sixth international symposium on life-cycle civil engineering (IALCCE 2018) N2 - Identifying optimal inspection and repair strategies for offshore jacket structures is a challenging task. We pre-sent an approach, which is based on recent developments in the field of risk-based operation and maintenance planning at the structural system level. The approach utilizes heuristics to define inspection and repair strate-gies at the system level and to reduce the search space of possible strategies. For each defined strategy, the expected service life cost of inspection, repair and failure is evaluated based on simulated inspection and re-pair histories. Subset simulation is applied to compute the conditional repair and failure probabilities required for this analysis. It also forms the basis for simulating inspection and repair histories. The strategy that mini-mizes the expected service life cost is the optimal one in the set of pre-selected strategies. The underlying condition and performance model accounts for the stochastic dependence among the deterioration states of the different structural elements and the structural redundancy. The approach is demonstrated in a case study considering a jacket-type frame. In this study, we essentially vary the inspection interval, the minimum num-ber of inspected components and the target reliability, and identify the combination that minimizes the ex-pected total service life cost. T2 - The sixth international symposium on life-cycle civil engineering (IALCCE 2018) CY - Ghent, Belgien DA - 28.10.2018 KW - Offshore steel structures KW - Fatigue KW - Reliability KW - Risk KW - Inspection planning PY - 2019 SN - 978-1-138-62633-1 SN - 978-1-315-22891-4 SP - 1081 EP - 1088 PB - Taylor & Francis Group CY - London AN - OPUS4-46434 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -