TY - CONF A1 - Simon, Patrick A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Baeßler, Matthias T1 - Bayesian system identification of a reinforced concrete beam subject to temperature variations based on static response data N2 - Changes in the measured response of structural systems can be an indication of structural damages. However, such changes can also be caused by the effect of varying environmental conditions. To detect, localize and quantify changes or damages in structural systems subject to varying environmental conditions, physics-based models of the structural systems have to be applied which explicitly account for the influence of ambient conditions on the structural behavior. Data obtained from the structural systems should be used to calibrate the models and update predictions. Bayesian system identification is an effective framework for this task. In this paper, we apply this framework to learn the parameters of two competing structural models of a reinforced concrete beam subject to varying temperatures based on static response data. The models describe the behavior of the beam in the uncracked and cracked condition. The data is collected in a series of load tests in a climate chamber. Bayesian model class selection is then applied to infer the most plausible condition of the beam conditional on the available data. T2 - Tenth International Conference on Bridge Maintenance, Safety and Management (IABMAS 2020) CY - Online meeting DA - 11.04.2021 KW - Bayesian system identification KW - Reinforced concrete KW - Damage identification KW - Environmental effects KW - Structural health monitoring KW - Structural systems PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52812 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Simon, Patrick A1 - Baeßler, Matthias T1 - Integrating vibration monitoring into risk-based inspection and maintenance planning for deteriorating structural systems N2 - A reliability and risk-based framework for integrating vibration monitoring data in the planning of inspection and maintenance of deteriorating structural systems is discussed and demonstrated in a numerical example. T2 - Wind Energy Science Conference (WESC 2021) CY - Online Meeting DA - 25.05.2021 KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems KW - Inspection KW - Vibration monitoring KW - Maintenance PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52766 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Towards predictive maintenance of bridges N2 - Key features of predictive maintenance of structural systems are discussed and demonstrated in two examples. Challenges and needs for further research are discussed. T2 - Workshop Bridge Maintenance CY - Online Meeting DA - 09.04.2021 KW - Predictive maintenance KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52768 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald A1 - Straub, D. T1 - Cumulative failure probability of deteriorating structures: Can it drop? N2 - The reliability of deteriorating structures at time t is quantified by the probability that failure occurs within the period leading up to time t. This probability is often referred to as cumulative failure probability and is equal to the cumulative distribution function of the time to failure. In structural reliability, an estimate of the cumulative failure probability is obtained based on probabilistic engineering models of the deterioration processes and structural performance. Information on the condition and the loading contained in inspection and monitoring data can be included in the probability estimate through Bayesian updating. Conditioning the probability of failure on the inspection or monitoring outcomes available at time t (e.g. detections or no detection of damages) can lead to a reduction in that probability. Such a drop in the cumulative failure probability might seem counterintuitive since the cumulative failure probability is a non-decreasing function of time. In this paper, we illustrate—with the help of a numerical example—that such a drop is possible because the cumulative probability before and after the updating is not based on the same information, hence not on the same probabilistic model. T2 - 18th Internatinoal Probabilistic Workshop (IPW 2020) CY - Online Meeting DA - 12.05.2021 KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems KW - Time-variant reliability KW - Bayesian updating KW - Inspection KW - Monitoring PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52770 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -