TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Towards predictive maintenance of bridges N2 - Key features of predictive maintenance of structural systems are discussed and demonstrated in two examples. Challenges and needs for further research are discussed. T2 - Workshop Bridge Maintenance CY - Online Meeting DA - 09.04.2021 KW - Predictive maintenance KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52768 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Cumulative failure probability of deteriorating structures: Can it drop? N2 - The reliability of deteriorating structures at time t is quantified by the probability that failure occurs within the period leading up to time t. This probability is often referred to as cumulative failure probability and is equal to the cumulative distribution function of the time to failure. In structural reliability, an estimate of the cumulative failure probability is obtained based on probabilistic engineering models of the deterioration processes and structural performance. Information on the condition and the loading contained in inspection and monitoring data can be included in the probability estimate through Bayesian updating. Conditioning the probability of failure on the inspection or monitoring outcomes available at time t (e.g. detections or no detection of damages) can lead to a reduction in that probability. Such a drop in the cumulative failure probability might seem counterintuitive since the cumulative failure probability is a non-decreasing function of time. In this paper, we illustrate—with the help of a numerical example—that such a drop is possible because the cumulative probability before and after the updating is not based on the same information, hence not on the same probabilistic model. T2 - 18th Internatinoal Probabilistic Workshop (IPW 2020) CY - Online Meeting DA - 12.05.2021 KW - Deterioration KW - Structural systems KW - Time-variant reliability KW - Bayesian updating KW - Inspection KW - Monitoring PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52770 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - A risk-based framework for optimizing inspection and maintenance of deteriorating structures monitored by vibration-based monitoring systems N2 - In this presentation, a framework for integrating vibration-based structural health monitoring data into the optimization of inspection and maintenance of deteriorating structural systems is presented. The framework is demonstrated in an illustrative example considering a steel frame subject to fatigue. T2 - EERA JP Wind WORKSHOP on Ongoing research in offshore wind structures CY - Online meeting DA - 16.09.2021 KW - Structural Health Monitoring KW - Inspection KW - Maintenance KW - Deterioration KW - Vibration KW - Structural Systems PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-53749 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Überwachung von Brücken mit digitalen Methoden N2 - Brücken werden durch Inspektionen und teilweise durch Monitoring überwacht, um Daten und Informationen über den Zustand und die Einwirkungen zu sammeln. Auf deren Grundlage werden Entscheidungen hinsichtlich Maßnahmen zur Gewährleistung der Sicherheit und Verfügbarkeit getroffen. In diesem Vortrag werden die Potentiale der Digitalisierung zur Unterstützung und Verbesserung der Brückenüberwachung diskutiert. Insbesondere werden die Bereiche Datenmanagement, Brückenmodellierung und Entscheidungsfindung betrachtet. T2 - BVPI Arbeitstagung 2022 CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 16.09.2022 KW - Entscheidungsfindung KW - Brücken KW - Überwachung KW - Digitalisierung KW - Datenmanagement KW - Modellierung PY - 2022 AN - OPUS4-55770 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Structural integrity management research at BAM N2 - This presentation provides an overview on the structural integrity management research at BAM. In addition, a framework for monitoring and risk-informed inspection and maintenance planning for offshore steel structures is presented. T2 - Structural Health Monitoring Using Statistical Pattern Recognition CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 20.03.2023 KW - Structural integrity KW - Monitoring KW - Maintenance KW - Inspeciton KW - Bridges KW - Offshore wind PY - 2023 AN - OPUS4-57864 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Impulsvortrag: Ermüdungslebensdauerbewertung mittels Informationen aus Monitoring und Inspektionen N2 - Kontext: Ermüdungsbeanspruchte Tragstrukturen von Windenergieanlagen, Bestimmung der Ermüdungsbeanspruchungen und -zuverlässigkeit auf der Grundlage von Simulationen aus dem Design unter Berücksichtigung von Modellunsicherheiten, Aktualisierung der Ermüdungsbeanspruchungen und -zuverlässigkeit auf der Grundlage von globalen Monitoring- und lokalen Inspektionsinformationen aus dem Betrieb unter Berücksichtigung von Modell- und Messunsicherheiten T2 - 3. Verbundtreffen ReNEW CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 05.09.2024 KW - Modellunsicherheiten KW - Windenergie KW - Ermüdungslebensdauer KW - Tragstrukturen KW - Monitoring KW - Inspektionen PY - 2024 AN - OPUS4-61427 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Modeling in support of offshore wind farm end-of-life decision making N2 - The EU member states have set out ambitious long-term goals for deploying offshore wind energy. The installed offshore wind capacity is set to increase from 14.6 GW in 2021 to around 320 GW in 2050. This signifies the role of offshore wind energy as a major contributor to reaching the EU’s climate and energy goals. To ensure that the defined targets are met, a significant number of new wind farms has to be installed and existing wind farms reaching the end of their planned life need to be reused efficiently. Some of the relevant reuse alternatives are lifetime extension, repowering based on the existing support structures and repowering with new turbines. As a basis of the decision-making regarding the reuse of existing offshore wind farm, the expected utility of each relevant option should be determined based on the associated expected rewards, costs and risks. The optimal concept maximizes the utility of the decision-maker and fulfills the existing constraints and requirements. To facilitate such a quantitative decision-making, models and methods have to be developed. In particular, models are required that enable predictions of (a) the condition and performance of the turbines and support structures and (b) the renumeration, costs and consequences of adverse events. These predictions have to consider (a) the governing uncertainties, (b) the available information from the planning, construction, installation and operating phase, (b) potential repair, retrofitting and strengthening schemes and (c) possible monitoring, inspection and maintenance regimes for the future operating phase. Over the past years, several models, methods and tools have been developed at the Bundesanstalt für Materialforschung und -prüfung (BAM) to support the structural integrity management of offshore wind turbine substructures. These include: (a) a prototype for reliability-based, system-wide, adaptive planning of inspections of welded steel structures in offshore wind farms, (b) a method for monitoring and risk-informed optimization of inspection and maintenance strategies for jacket structures subject to fatigue, and (c) a probabilistic cost model of inspection and maintenance of welded steel structures in offshore wind farms. This contribution provides an overview on these works and discusses how they can be adapted and extended to support the decision-making regarding lifetime extensions and repowering of offshore wind farms. T2 - 12th International Forum on Engineering Decision Making (12th IFED) CY - Stoos, Switzerland DA - 05.12.2023 KW - Windenergie KW - Offshore Wind KW - Lifetime Extension KW - Repowering PY - 2023 AN - OPUS4-60430 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Zuverlässigkeitsbasierte Bemessung und Monte Carlo Simulation N2 - Am 19. und 20.11.2024 veranstaltete die BAM und der DGGT AK 2.15 „Zuverlässigkeitsbasierte Methoden in der Geotechnik“ in Zusammenarbeit mit der DGGT-Akademie einen zweitägigen Workshop zur Einführung in die zuverlässigkeitsbasierte Bemessung. Am ersten Tag wurden in einem Short Course die Grundlagen der Zuverlässigkeitsanalyse in der Geotechnik vermittelt, wobei den Teilnehmenden die Möglichkeit geboten wurde, unter Anleitung Aufgaben mit Hilfe geeigneter Software am PC selbstständig zu bearbeiten. In diesem Vortrag wurde die Grundlagen der zuverlässigkeitsbasierten Bemessung und die Monte Carlo Simulation zur Abschätzung der Versagenswahrscheinlichkeit dargestellt. T2 - 2. Workshop des DGGT AK 2.15 „Zuverlässigkeitsbasierte Methoden in der Geotechnik“ CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 19.11.2024 KW - Zuverlässigkeitsanalyse KW - Geotechnik KW - Monte Carlo Simulation PY - 2024 AN - OPUS4-61905 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Digitaler Zwilling im Erhaltungsmanagement von Straßenbrücken N2 - Digitale Zwillinge werden zukünftig ein integraler Bestandteil des Erhaltungsmanagements von Straßenbrücken sein. In diesem Beitrag wird argumentiert, dass sie nicht nur als digitale Abbilder physikalischer Bauwerke verstanden werden sollten, sondern als eine umfassende digitale Methode, die durch die Integration von Datenerfassung, Erhaltungsmaßnahmen, Datenmanagement, Bauwerksbewertung und Entscheidungsunterstützung die Bauwerksüberwachung und -erhaltung verbessert. In diesem Zusammenhang wird betont, dass der Übergang von der reaktiven zur prädiktiven Erhaltung durch den Einsatz von Digitalen Zwillingen nur dann realisierbar ist, wenn neben den erforderlichen diagnostischen und prognostischen Zustandsanalysen auch Methoden zur Optimierung von Entscheidungen über Datenerfassung und Erhaltungsmaßnahmen implementiert werden. Zur Veranschaulichung der Diskussion werden in diesem Beitrag exemplarisch zwei Bestandteile eines Digitalen Zwillings für das Erhaltungsmanagement von Verkehrsbrücken am Beispiel einer Eisenbahnbrücke demonstriert. Dabei wird zum einen gezeigt, wie Monitoringdaten mittels eines Datenmanagementsystems strukturiert verwaltet und für angeknüpfte Analysen bereitgestellt werden. Zum anderen erfolgt im Rahmen einer bauwerksspezifischen Einwirkungsermittlung eine Zugidentifikation anhand von gemessenen Schwellenschwingungen T2 - Workshop „Digitaler Zwilling im Lebenszyklusmanagement" der AG BIM in der Bauwerkserhaltung des Koordinierungsausschusses Erhaltung (KoA-Erhaltung) der B/L-DB Konstruktiver Ingenieurbau CY - Potsdam, Germany DA - 09.04.2025 KW - Digitale Zwillinge KW - Erhaltung KW - Inspektion KW - Monitoring KW - Brücken PY - 2025 AN - OPUS4-62951 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - SysPark: a software tool for system-wide adaptive planning of inspections of turbine support structures in offshore wind farms N2 - Fatigue is one of the main deterioration processes affecting the performance of welded steel support structures of wind turbines in offshore wind farms. In this contribution, we present a probabilistic physics-based fatigue deterioration model of a wind farm that accounts for the stochastic dependence among the fatigue behavior of different hotspots at turbine and wind farm level. The dependence exists because of uncertain common influencing factors such as similar material properties, fabrication qualities and load conditions. These system effects signify that an inspection of one hotspot provides indirect information of the condition of the remaining hotspots and thus enable an optimization of the inspection effort for a wind farm. The wind farm model consists of two levels: A turbine support structure (level 1 system model) is represented by its fatigue hotspots and their stochastic dependence. The fatigue performance of a hotspot is described by a probabilistic fracture mechanics (FM) fatigue model. The probabilistic model of the parameters of the FM fatigue model is calibrated based on design data and is thus directly linked to the design of the turbine support structures. Dependence among the fatigue performances of different hotspots in a turbine support structure is modeled by introducing correlations between the stochastic parameters of the FM fatigue models. A wind farm (level 2 system model) consists of different turbine support structures (level 1 system models). Additional correlations are introduced at wind farm level to account for the dependence among the fatigue behavior of hotspots belonging to different turbine support structures. The wind farm model enables the computation of (marginal) hotspot fatigue reliabilities, system fatigue reliabilities of individual turbine support structures and the system fatigue reliability of an entire wind farm. The probabilistic model of the parameters of the two-level system model can be consistently updated with inspection outcomes using Bayesian methods. The updated probabilistic model of the model parameters then forms the basis for updating the estimates of the fatigue reliabilities. We implement the wind farm model in a software tool named SysPark. The tool provides the means for planning inspections at wind farm level using an adaptive reliability-based threshold approach. In this approach, the first inspection campaign is planned in the year before the fatigue failure rates of the hotspots with the lowest fatigue reliabilities exceed a threshold failure rate. Once inspection results become available, the probabilistic model of the parameters of the wind farm model is updated. If repairs are performed, the wind farm model is additionally modified to describe the behavior of the repaired hotspots. The updated and modified model then enables the planning of the next inspection campaign and so on. The software tool is demonstrated in a case study considering a generic wind farm consisting of turbines with jacket support structures. T2 - Wind Energy Science Conference (WESC 2021) CY - Online Meeting DA - 25.05.2021 KW - Fatigue deterioration KW - Offshore wind farm KW - Inspection planning PY - 2021 AN - OPUS4-52767 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -