TY - JOUR A1 - Zhang, W.-H. A1 - Qin, J. A1 - Lu, D.-G. A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Havbro Faber, M. T1 - Vol-informed decision-making for SHM system arrangement N2 - Structural health monitoring systems have been widely implemented to provide real-time continuous data support and to ensure structural safety in the context of structural integrity management. However, the quantification of the potential benefits of structural health monitoring systems has not yet attracted widespread attention. At the same time, there is an urgent need to develop strategies, such as optimizing the monitoring period, monitoring variables, and other factors, to maximize the potential benefits of structural health monitoring systems. Considering the continuity of structural health monitoring information, a framework is developed in this article to support decision-making for structural Health monitoring systems arrangement in the context of structural integrity management, which integrates the concepts of value of information and risk-based inspection planning based on an approach which utilizes a conjugate prior probability distribution for updating of the probabilistic models of structural performances based on structural health Monitoring information. An example considering fatigue degradation of steel structures is investigated to illustrate the application of the proposed framework. The considered example shows that the choice of monitoring variables, the Monitoring period, and the monitoring quality may be consistently optimized by the application of the proposed framework and approach. Finally, discussions and conclusions are provided to clarify the potential benefits of the proposed Framework with a special view to practical applications of structural health monitoring systems. KW - Value of information KW - Structural health monitoring systems arrangement strategy KW - Structural integrity management KW - Rskbased inspection KW - Structural health monitoring information model PY - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/1475921720962736 SN - 1475-9217 VL - 21 IS - 1 SP - 37 EP - 58 PB - SAGE Journals CY - USA AN - OPUS4-53064 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Stewart, M. G. T1 - On the cost-efficiency, significance and effectiveness of terrorism risk reduction strategies for buildings N2 - We analyse the performance of risk reduction strategies for Terrorist attacks with Improvised Explosive Devices (IEDs) for large governmental building structures in terms of cost-efficiency, significance and effectiveness Accounting for life safety in conjunction with societal preferences and capabilities. The approach builds upon an extended Bayesian pre-posterior decision analysis and the principles of the marginal lifesaving costs based on the Life Quality Index (LQI). The decision scenario is formulated for a decision maker responsible for the safety of governmental or large commercial buildings and consequently the direct risks, the indirect risks due to fatalities and economical importance of the building beside the expected cost for the individual risk reduction strategies are modelled, aggregated and optimised. The considered risk reduction strategies encompass an explicit consideration and distinction of information and actions such as (i) threat surveillance may trigger the temporary evacuation of the building, (ii) the implementation of protection provisions provided by codes and guidelines, (iii) a detailed progressive collapse assessment and specific protection measures and (iv) the combination of protection and surveillance. All considered strategies are found to contribute to risk reduction and can be costefficient, especially for higher threat probabilities. The risk reduction strategies comply with societal macroeconomic and demographical characteristics and societal preferences according to the LQI. The progressive collapse assessment with targeted protection measures is found to be the most cost-efficient, significant and effective counter-terrorism strategy. This finding points to the necessity for a comprehensive utilisation of scientific methods and sophisticated engineering for progressive collapse assessment to determine targeted protection measures. KW - Significance and effectiveness KW - Risk mitigation strategies KW - Terrorist attacks KW - Value of information KW - Bayesian probability KW - Reliability KW - Risk and decision analysis KW - Decision optimality PY - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.strusafe.2020.101957 VL - 85 SP - 10195 PB - Elsevier Ltd. AN - OPUS4-50794 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - The Influence of brittle Daniels system characteristics on the value of load monitoring information N2 - This paper addresses the influence of deteriorating brittle Daniels system characteristics on the value of structural health monitoring (SHM). The value of SHM is quantified as the difference between the life cycle benefits with and without SHM. A value of SHM analysis is performed within the framework of the Bayesian pre-posterior decision theory and requires (1) structural performance modelling and prediction, (2) structural integrity management models, (3) the (pre-posterior) modelling of SHM and (4) the coupling of SHM and the structural performance models. The pre-posterior decision theoretical framework facilitates that the value of SHM can be quantified before the SHM system is quantified and before data are acquired. The results of this study support decisions to select structural systems for which the SHM strategy load monitoring is optimal. T2 - 8th European Workshop on Structural Health Monitoring (EWSHM 2016) CY - Bilbao, Spain DA - 05.07.2016 KW - Value of information KW - Structural performance KW - Deterioration KW - Daniels systems PY - 2016 UR - http://www.ndt.net/?id=20186 SN - 1435-4934 VL - 21 IS - 8 SP - 1 EP - 9 PB - NDT.net CY - Kirchwald AN - OPUS4-38217 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rücker, Werner A1 - Faber, M.H. T1 - Support structure reliability of offshore wind turbines utilizing an adaptive response surface method T2 - OMAE 2010 - 29th International conference on ocean, offshore and arctic engineering CY - Shanghai, China DA - 2010-06-06 PY - 2010 IS - OMAE2010-20546 SP - 1 EP - 10 AN - OPUS4-21666 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Risikobasierte Überwachungsverfahren zur Lebensdauerverlängerung von bestehenden und neuen Bauwerken T1 - Risk based condition monitoring for life cycle extension of structures N2 - Diese Veröffentlichung enthält Konzepte zur Lebensdauerverlängerung von Bauwerken auf der Grundlage der Tragwerkszuverlässigkeitstheorie. Es werden aktuelle Forschungsergebnisse aus nationalen und europäischen Forschungsvorhaben vorgestellt. Den Schwerpunkt bildet die Verwendung von Bauwerksüberwachungsdaten unter Berücksichtigung von Messunsicherheiten zur Bestimmung der Tragwerkszuverlässigkeit. Dazu wird ein neuer Ansatz zur Bestimmung der A-posteriori Messunsicherheit vorgestellt. Es wird gezeigt, aufgrund welcher Eigenschaften der verwendeten probabilistischen Modelle die Zuverlässigkeit im Grenzzustand der Ermüdung in Bezug auf eine Lebensdauerverlängerung beeinflusst werden kann. N2 - This paper contains approaches aiming at the life cycle extension of structures on the basis of the structural reliability theory. Actual research results are presented with the focusing on the utilisation of monitoring data for the structural reliability analysis. In this context a framework for the determination of the posterior measurement uncertainty applying Bayesian Updating the process equation based measurement uncertainty with the Observation based measurement uncertainty is introduced. The general concepts for the utilisation of monitoring data and inspection data for updating the structural reliability in the view of life cycle extension are outlined. The characteristics of monitoring data in the context of the structural reliability theory are shown in detail on the basis of an example. T2 - DVM-Tag 2011 - Bauteilzuverlässigkeit - Schäden und ihre Vermeidung CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 04.05.2011 KW - Lebensdauerverlängerung KW - Tragwerkszuverlässigkeit KW - Messunsicherheit KW - Bauwerksüberwachung KW - Life cycle extension KW - Structural reliability KW - Measurement uncertainty KW - Structural monitoring PY - 2011 SN - 0946-5987 N1 - Serientitel: DVM-Bericht – Series title: DVM-Bericht IS - 678 SP - 1 EP - 10 AN - OPUS4-23720 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rohrmann, Rolf A1 - Rücker, Werner A1 - Faber, M.H. T1 - Bewertung der Ermüdungsfestigkeit von Baustrukturen in Offshore-Windenergie-Anlagen N2 - Das Bauwerk einer Windenergieanlage dient der Sicherstellung der Energieproduktion. Eine entsprechende Zuverlässigkeit der Struktur und deren permanente Bewertung und Unterhaltung ist dazu notwendig. In diesem Beitrag werden Möglichkeiten der Bewertung des für die Struktur wichtigen Schädigungsmechanismus Ermüdung sowie dessen Überwachung in Zusammenhang mit Schädigungsindikatoren aufgezeigt. Dabei wird auf strukturmechanische, werkstoffmechanische und probabilistische Modelle sowie auf Messdaten eines Prototyps einer OWEA zurückgegriffen. Ausgehend von der gesamtdynamischen Berechnung wird die Zuverlässigkeit gemäß der Auslegung für den Schädigungsmechanismus Ermüdung durch ein Wöhlerlinienmodell berechnet. Damit werden ermüdungssensible Komponenten der Struktur identifiziert. Schädigungsindikatoren zur Überwachung der Ermüdungsfestigkeit werden auf Grundlage schädigungs-äquivalenter Dehnungen vorgestellt. Fatigue assessment of support structures for offshore wind energy converters. The structure of wind energy converters secures a reliable energy production. Hence an adequate reliability of the structure and additionally permanent assessment and maintenance is required. Within this paper methods for the assessment of the important damage mechanism fatigue in combination with monitoring of the fatigue reliability utilizing damage indicators are proposed. These methods comprise structural system, material degradation and probabilistic models as well as monitoring data of an offshore wind energy converter prototype. The structural reliability of the structure as designed is calculated based on an overall dynamic analysis using a SN-approach. Herewith fatigue sensitive components are identified. Damage indicators for monitoring the fatigue reliability based on damage equivalent strains are presented. KW - Bewertung KW - Offshore-Windenergie KW - Ermüdung KW - Strukturspannungskonzept KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - Schadensindikatoren KW - Integrated Monitoring System KW - Damage Identification KW - Load Monitoring KW - Wind turbines PY - 2008 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/stab.200810076 SN - 0038-9145 SN - 1437-1049 SN - 0932-6375 VL - 77 IS - 9 SP - 630 EP - 638 PB - Ernst CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-17977 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - McMillan, D. T1 - Condition monitoring benefit for offshore wind turbines T2 - PMAPS 2012 - 12th International conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems CY - Istanbul, Turkey DA - 2012-06-10 KW - Condition monitoring KW - Offshore wind KW - Operation KW - Risk KW - Life cycle KW - Cost KW - Cost benefit analysis KW - Offshore wind turbine KW - Operation management KW - Structural integrity management PY - 2012 SP - 37 EP - 42 AN - OPUS4-26117 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - McMillan, D. ED - Karki, R. ED - Billinton, R. ED - Vermar, A.K. T1 - Condition monitoring benefit for operation support of offshore wind turbines N2 - As more offshore wind parks are commissioned, the focus will inevitably shift from a planning, construction, and warranty focus to an operation, maintenance, and investment payback focus. In this latter case, both short-term risks associated with wind turbine component assemblies, and long-term risks related to integrity of the support structure, are highly important. This research focuses on the role of condition monitoring to lower costs and risks associated with short-term reliability and long-term asset integrity. This enables comparative estimates of the life cycle costs and reduction in uncertainty, both of which are of value to investors. KW - Condition monitoring KW - Offshore wind KW - OperationRisk KW - Life cycle cost PY - 2014 SN - 978-81-322-1797-8 SN - 978-81-322-1798-5 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-81-322-1798-5_11 N1 - Serientitel: Reliable and sustainable electric power and energy systems management – Series title: Reliable and sustainable electric power and energy systems management SP - 169 EP - 182 PB - Springer AN - OPUS4-31275 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Lanata, F. ED - Deodatis, G. ED - Ellingwood, B.R. ED - Frangopol, D.M. T1 - Risk and operation optimized damage detection and inspection systems T2 - 11th International conference on structural safety and reliability - Safety, reliability, risk and life-cycle performance of structures and infrastructures CY - New York, USA DA - 16.06.2013 PY - 2013 SN - 978-1-138-00086-5 SN - 978-1-315-88488-2 SP - 1 EP - 10 PB - CRC Press CY - Leiden, The Netherlands AN - OPUS4-28729 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Hille, Falk A1 - Karabeliov, Krassimire A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Damage detection and risk estimation of bridge S101 T2 - IRIS Summer Academy CY - Zell am See, Austria DA - 2009-04-01 PY - 2009 AN - OPUS4-20495 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -