TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Fallstudie einer Offshore-Windenergieanlage T2 - VDI Wissensforum: Bauwerksmonitoring CY - Hamburg, Germany DA - 2013-04-17 PY - 2013 AN - OPUS4-28110 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Verfahren der Lebenszykluskurven auf der Grundlage der Tragwerkszuverlässigkeit T2 - VDI Wissensforum: Bauwerksmonitoring CY - Hamburg, Germany DA - 2013-04-17 PY - 2013 AN - OPUS4-28112 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Faber, M.H. ED - Deodatis, G. ED - Ellingwood, B.R. ED - Frangopol, D.M. T1 - Assessing the value of structural health monitoring N2 - Structural Health Monitoring (SHM) systems are designed for assisting owners and operators with information and forecasts concerning the fitness for purpose of structures and building systems. The benefit associated with the implementation of SHM may in some cases be intuitively anticipated or proven by past experiences but in general there appears to be no rational or systematic approach for assessing the value of SHM systems a-priory to their implementation. The present paper addresses the assessment of the value of SHM with basis in structural risk assessments and the Bayesian pre-posterior decision analysis. The quantification of the value of SHM builds upon the quantification of the value of information (VoI) or rather the benefit of monitoring. The suggested approach involves a probabilistic representation of the loads and environmental conditions acting on structures as well as their responses and performances over their life-cycle. In addition, the quality of monitoring and the performance of possible remedial actions triggered by monitoring results are modeled probabilistically.The consequences accounted for, in principle include all consequences associated with the performance of the structure over its life-cycle as well as the costs associated with monitoring and possible remedial actions. The suggested approach is illustrated through two case studies concerning the monitoring of welded details in steel structures subjected to fatigue loading. The case studies address the effect of the uncertainty associated with the performance of SHM on the value of SHM. Moreover, in order to illustrate the potential of the application of approach for monitoring of structural systems an optimal strategy for SHM is determined for a system comprised of three welded details. T2 - 11th International conference on structural safety and reliability - Safety, reliability, risk and life-cycle performance of structures and infrastructures CY - New York, USA DA - 16.06.2013 PY - 2013 SN - 978-1-138-00086-5 SN - 978-1-315-88488-2 SP - 1 EP - 8 PB - CRC Press CY - Leiden, The Netherlands AN - OPUS4-28728 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Lanata, F. ED - Deodatis, G. ED - Ellingwood, B.R. ED - Frangopol, D.M. T1 - Risk and operation optimized damage detection and inspection systems T2 - 11th International conference on structural safety and reliability - Safety, reliability, risk and life-cycle performance of structures and infrastructures CY - New York, USA DA - 16.06.2013 PY - 2013 SN - 978-1-138-00086-5 SN - 978-1-315-88488-2 SP - 1 EP - 10 PB - CRC Press CY - Leiden, The Netherlands AN - OPUS4-28729 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Schneider, Ronald T1 - Reliability-based inspection planning with application to orthotropic bridge deck structures subjected to fatigue T2 - IRIS Final Conference CY - Vienna, Austria DA - 2012-03-19 PY - 2012 AN - OPUS4-25701 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Döhler, M. ED - Del Grosso, A.E. ED - Basso, P. T1 - Structural reliability updating with stochastic subspace damage detection information T2 - EACS 2012 - Smart structures - 5th European conference on structural control CY - Genoa, Italy DA - 2012-06-18 KW - Stochastic subspace KW - Structural reliability KW - Bayesian updating KW - Probability od detection PY - 2012 SN - 978-88-95023-13-7 IS - Paper #008 SP - 1 EP - 12 PB - Erredi Grafiche Editoriali AN - OPUS4-26181 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Döhler, M. T1 - Structural Reliability Updating with Stochastic Subspace Damage Detection Information T2 - EACS 2012: 5th European Conference on Structural Control CY - Genoa, Italy DA - 2012-06-17 PY - 2012 AN - OPUS4-26159 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Rücker, Werner A1 - Straub, D. A1 - Fischer, J. T1 - Intelligente Bauwerke - Zuverlässigkeitsbasierte Bewertung von Brückenbauwerken unter Berücksichtigung von Inspektions- und Überwachungsergebnissen T2 - Workshop Intelligente Bauwerke CY - Bergisch Gladbach, Germany DA - 2012-06-26 PY - 2012 AN - OPUS4-26160 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Faber, M.H. A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Optimierung des Managements der Tragwerksintegrität für Offshore-Windenergieanlagen N2 - Dieser Artikel enthält aktuelle Forschungsergebnisse im Bereich des überwachungsgestützten Managements der Tragwerksintegrität. Das Management der Tragwerksintegrität hat zum Ziel, die Funktionalität eines Tragwerks während des gesamten Lebenszyklus durch Einhaltung der Zielzuverlässigkeiten sicherzustellen. Ausgehend von Forschungsergebnissen über die Charakteristik von Überwachungsverfahren und -daten im Rahmen von Zuverlässigkeitsanalysen, wird ein Ansatz vorgestellt, wie die erwarteten Kosten für das Management der Tragwerksintegrität durch Überwachungsverfahren optimiert werden können. Dazu wird eine Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse für den Lebenszyklus einer Gründungstruktur von Offshore-Windenergieanlagen durchgeführt. Im Rahmen der Bayes'schen Entscheidungstheorie werden durch eine Prä-posteriori-Entscheidungsanalyse die optimalen Entscheidungsparameter für den Entwurf eines Überwachungssystems bestimmt. Als Fallstudie wird ein Überwachungssystem für die Gründungsstruktur eines Multibrid-M5000-Prototyps konzipiert und die mögliche Reduktion der Risiken und erwarteten Betriebskosten quantifiziert. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- This paper contains recent research results in the field of monitoring supported structural integrity management. The structural integrity management aims at ensuring the functioning of a structure throughout the life cycle by compliance with the target reliabilities. Building upon research results concerning the characteristics of monitoring techniques and data within the framework of reliability analyses, an approach is introduced for the optimisation of the expected structural integrity management costs by monitoring information. For this aim, a life cycle cost benefit analysis for offshore wind turbine support structures is formulated. The optimal monitoring decision parameters are then assessed utilizing the Bayesian pre-posterior decision theory. As a case study a monitoring system for a Multibrid M5000 offshore wind turbine prototype support structure is designed and possible reductions of the risks and expected costs are quantified. KW - Management der Tragwerksintegrität KW - Messunsicherheit KW - Tragwerkszuverlässigkeit KW - Bayes'sche Aktualisierung KW - Kosten-Nutzen-Analyse KW - Lebenszyklus KW - Structural integrity management KW - Measurement uncertainty KW - Structural reliability KW - Bayesian updating KW - Cost-benefit analysis KW - Life cycle KW - Bauwerkserhaltung/Sanierung - Maintenance and Repair KW - Meerestechnik - Offshore engineering KW - Stahlbau - Steel construction PY - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/bate.201200021 SN - 0932-8351 SN - 1437-0999 SN - 0005-6820 SN - 0341-1052 SN - 0932-6359 SN - 0932-8351 VL - 89 IS - 8 SP - 525 EP - 532 PB - Ernst & Sohn CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-26313 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thöns, Sebastian A1 - Faber, M.H. A1 - Rücker, Werner T1 - Ultimate limit state model basis for assessment of offshore wind energy converters N2 - This paper establishes the model basis regarding the ultimate limit state consisting of structural, loading, and probabilistic models of the support structure of offshore wind energy converters together with a sensitivity study. The model basis is part of a risk based assessment and monitoring framework and will be applied for establishing the 'as designed and constructed' reliability as prior information for the assessment and as a basis for designing a monitoring system. The model basis is derived considering the constitutive physical equations and the methodology of solving these which then in combination with the ultimate limit state requirements leads to the specific constitutive relations. As a result finite element models based on shell elements incorporating a structural and a loading model are introduced and described in detail. Applying these models the ultimate capacity of the support structure and the tripod structure are determined with a geometrically and materially nonlinear finite element analysis. The observed failure mechanisms are the basis for the definition of the ultimate limit state responses. A probabilistic model accounting for the uncertainties involved is derived on the basis of literature review and measurement data from a prototype Multibrid M5000 support structure. In combination with the developed structural and loading models, sensitivity analyses in regard to the responses are performed to enhance the understanding and to refine the developed models. To this end, as the developed models necessitate substantial numerical efforts for the probabilistic response analysis predetermined designs of numerical experiments are applied for the calculation of the sensitivities using the Spearman rank correlation coefficient. With this quantification of the sensitivity of the random variables on the responses including nonlinearity the refinement of the model is performed on a quantitative basis. KW - Condition monitoring KW - Failure analysis KW - Finite element analysis KW - Offshore installations KW - Probability KW - Risk analysis KW - Shells (structures) KW - Structural engineering KW - Wind power KW - Model basis KW - Offshore wind KW - Support structure KW - Sensitivity KW - Ultimate limit state PY - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1115/1.4004513 SN - 0892-7219 VL - 134 IS - 3 SP - 031904-1 - 031904-9 CY - Fairfield, NJ AN - OPUS4-26358 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -