TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Using comprehensive probability of detection curves to support determination of inspection intervals of railway axles N2 - Deutsche Bahn periodically inspects hollow railway axles for fatigue cracks on the outer surface with mechanized ultrasonic inspection systems. According to the current standard for the inspection of railway axles, the capability of the inspection system to detect these cracks has to be demonstrated on the saw-cut type artificial defects. However, the geometry and the ultrasonic response of the real cracks that can occur on the outer surface of the axle are different from the saw-cut. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that the position and the orientation of the cracks are also important factors that influence the crack detectability. It is proposed to evaluate the influence of all factors on the detection of the cracks using the multi-parameter reliability model. The model uses numerical simulation and experiments to comprehensively address the influence of several factors on the probability of detection. T2 - 18th International Wheelset Congress CY - Chengdu, China DA - 07.11.2016 KW - Probability of detection KW - Ultrasonic inspection KW - Cracks KW - Hollow railway axles PY - 2016 AN - OPUS4-38280 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Investigations to Introduce the Probability of Detection Method for Ultrasonic Inspection of Hollow Axles at Deutsche Bahn N2 - Reliability investigation of the mechanised ultrasonic inspection system used to inspect hollow railway axles. T2 - ESIS TC24 Workshop "Integrity of Railway Structures" CY - Leoben, Austria DA - 24.10.2016 KW - POD KW - Ultrasonic KW - Reliability KW - NDT PY - 2016 AN - OPUS4-38460 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Reliability analysis of the ultrasonic inspection system for the inspection of hollow railway axles N2 - Axles are safety critical train components that are subjected to significant cyclic loading during operation. If the crack is initiated in the axle, cyclic loading will lead to crack propagation. To maintain structural integrity, axles must be periodically inspected for fatigue cracks in the material. Deutsche Bahn uses mechanized ultrasonic inspection system to inspect hollow railway axles. The inspections are performed from the bore surface, using several conventional transducers with different incident angles, inspecting the axle along the entire length. As with the every safety critical system, the reliability of these inspections must be determined with regard to their flaw detection capabilities. Traditionally this is done according to the relevant standards for railway vehicles. To investigate the capability of the NDT system more thoroughly, we want to evaluate the capability of the inspection system to detect flaws by means of probability of detection (POD) curves. It will be shown that other parameters, beside the size of the crack, for example crack position in the axle, influence the detection of the crack. The influence of these parameters was evaluated using ultrasonic simulation. The evaluation served as an input for the manufacturing of the flaws in the real scale axle. Once these axles are inspected and the data evaluated, using data from both measurement and simulation, we will express the POD of the crack as function of influencing parameters using the multiparameter POD model. T2 - Proceedings of the 19th World Conference on Nondestructive Testing CY - Munich, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - Detection KW - Simulation KW - Ultrasonic KW - Railway KW - Reliability KW - POD KW - Crack PY - 2016 AN - OPUS4-36702 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Reliability Analysis of the Phased-Array Ultrasonic System used for the Inspection of Friction Stir Welds of Copper Canisters N2 - The canister for the permanent storage of spent nuclear fuel used by SKB in Sweden consists of a cast iron insert surrounded by a five centimetre thick shell of copper. It is a safety critical component and in order to secure long-term structural integrity non-destructive methods are used to inspect 100% of the volume of each canister, before it is disposed of in the repository. One of the critical components that requires inspection is a sealing weld, joining the copper tube and the lid. The friction stir weld is inspected using an ultrasonic phased array system. The area of the weld is inspected with several inspection channels with different angles and varying coverage. To make sure that no defects that might occur in the weld are overseen, the reliability of the inspection must be quantified. The reliability of NDT is usually quantified with the probability of detection curves. The influence of the parameters that might influence the POD of the flaws in the weld is investigated analysing the experimental results, as well as with a help of a numerical simulation of the inspection. T2 - Proceedings of the 19th World Conference on Nondestructive Testing CY - Munich, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - Ultrasonic KW - Copper KW - NDT KW - FSW KW - JLH KW - Weld KW - POD KW - Reliability PY - 2016 AN - OPUS4-36703 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Achieving a more comprehensive POD using both simulation and measurements N2 - Today, it is an established fact that the capability of the non-destructive testing (NDT) to find flaws can be properly addressed only in terms of probability of detection (POD). The probabilistic, signal-response model, introduced in 1980s, was developed with experimental observation of eddy-current inspections of flat plate samples, containing surface breaking cracks. A linearity between the peak voltage measured by the testing system, and the crack depth was observed. The influence of the crack depth was therefore seen as the major influencing factor for the POD, whereas other factors merely caused the variability in the measurement. This model has proven itself valid for those inspection cases where there is only one main influencing factor on the POD (usually the flaw size) and other factors have a lesser influence. But with increasing requirements to quantify the capability of NDT systems in complex inspection situations, where several factors have a major influence on the POD, it has become clear that the applicability of this simple model has reached its limits. In disregard to its limitations, this model is regularly applied to those situations in which its fundamental assumptions are invalid, forcing evaluators and NDT researchers into attempts to fit the data to an unsuitable model, instead of fitting an appropriate model to the data. The multiparameter POD model, developed in the early 2010s, enables more factors that influence detection to be simultaneously analysed, making the POD a function of multiple factors. The model is based on the inspection’s physical model, to describe the influence of different factors on the response signal. Measurement variability is obtained from the experiment. Using this model assisted determination of the POD, the necessary number of flaws for evaluation is reduced and a more comprehensive understanding of the inspection is obtained. Several examples of the successful application of the multi-parameter POD model in different fields will be presented. T2 - 7th European-American Workshop on Reliability of NDE CY - Potsdam, Germany DA - 04.09.2017 KW - POD KW - Multi-parameter KW - Reliability KW - NDT PY - 2017 AN - OPUS4-42078 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - The importance of determining the POD of the NDT system when designing a safe component N2 - Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) is routinely used in aerospace, nuclear, railway and automotive industries. The most common use of NDT is to find flaws in components. In dynamically loaded components, flaws grow, and if they are not detected in time and no corrective measures are taken they can reach critical sizes. When a flaw reaches a critical size, it endangers the structural integrity of the component and will likely cause the component to fail. To detect flaws before they reach a critical size, components are inspected in fixed time intervals with non-destructive testing systems. In order to determine the amount of time between inspections, three variables are necessary: the critical size of the flaw, the flaw propagation speed and the size of the flaw that can be reliably detected by NDT. All three variables are, to a certain extent, stochastic. The critical size of the flaw and flaw propagation speed are questions of fracture mechanics. The size of the flaw that can be reliably detected by NDT is predicted by POD curves. The POD is determined for a given inspection scenario. The inspection scenario includes the NDT system, the component geometry and the type of the flaw. If one of these changes, the POD will also change and needs to be recalculated. As a result, the design of a dynamically loaded safety-relevant components is an iterative process in which a geometry is sought that provides an optimum between structural integrity and inspectability. A model that describes the iterative process for the design of the safe components with examples from praxis will be presented. T2 - 15th ASIA PACIFIC CONFERENCE FOR NON-DESTRUCTIVE TESTING (APCNDT) CY - Singapore DA - 13.11.2017 KW - Safety KW - Mechanical design KW - Fracture mechanics KW - Nondestructive testing KW - POD PY - 2017 AN - OPUS4-43134 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Heckel, Thomas A1 - Brömel, Philip A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Attenuation dependent detectability at ultrasonic inspection of copper N2 - This report describes the progress in understanding and describing the detectability of the ultrasonic inspection technique developed by SKB for the inspection of copper tubes used for the final disposal of the Swedish spent nuclear fuel. In former research activities dedicated to the different parts of the canister, the probability of detection (POD) evaluation technique, as developed for thin aircraft components, was further developed for the application on complex hick-walled components. The result of this development was the introduction of a “multi-parameter” POD framework. In contrast to taking only the defect size into consideration (as for aircraft components) additional influencing factors, relevant for thick components, such as depth position, orientation and part geometry, were included. Furthermore, the variation of ultrasonic attenuation due to various material properties was included. PY - 2014 SP - ID 1411328, 1 EP - 54 AN - OPUS4-32522 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Calmon, P. A1 - Carter, L. A1 - Fischer, J. A1 - Forsyth, D. A1 - Holstein, R. A1 - McGrath, B. A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Rummel, W. A1 - Schubert, F. A1 - Selby, G. T1 - Summary of the "open space technology discussions" on reliability of NDE N2 - Since the beginnings of the European American Workshops (EAW) in 1997, the aim was to gather the experts in NDE reliability and discuss burning topics with the aim of identifying crucial problems and suggesting ways to move forward. This was usually achieved during the so-called break-out sessions, in which predetermined topics were discussed. During the 5th EAW, held in Berlin in 2013, this approach was replaced by an Open Space Technology (OST) approach. The benefit of this approach is seen in the freedom of topic choices, i. e., the topics are not predetermined but rather arise at that moment in that space and by the participants’ choice. The following topics arose: new reliability methods (Bayesian, MAPOD, …), structural health monitoring, definition of requirements of NDE by customer versus provider, what value of POD is good enough?, human factors, manual versus automated inspection, and basic concepts of reliability of NDE. The participants were encouraged to walk from one session to another and openly express their opinions. These were in the end summarized by a chosen group of moderators and presented in this paper. N2 - Seit den Anfängen der europäischen amerikanischen Workshops (EAW) im Jahr 1997 war es das Ziel, Experten auf dem Gebiet der ZfP-Zuverlässigkeit zusammenzuführen und aktuelle Themen zu diskutieren, um wichtige Probleme zu identifizieren und Wege für deren Lösung vorzuschlagen. Dies wurde in der Regel während der sogenannten „Break-out Sessions“ erreicht, in denen vorgegebene Themen diskutiert wurden. Während des 5. EAW, der in Berlin im Jahr 2013 stattfand, wurde dieser Ansatz durch einen Open Space Technology (OST) Ansatz ersetzt. Open Space ist eine Methode der Gruppenmoderation, die sehr gut geeignet ist, um neue Ideen zu entwickeln und selbstständiges Arbeiten zu fördern, d. h. die Themen werden nicht vorgegeben, sondern ergeben sich in diesem Moment in diesem Raum und durch die Wahl der Teilnehmer. Die folgenden Themen wurden herausgearbeitet: neue Zuverlässigkeitsmethoden (Bayes, MAPOD, ...…), Structural Health Monitoring, Definition von Anforderungen der Kunden gegenüber den ZfP-Anbietern, Welcher Wert der POD ist gut genug?, der Einfluss menschlicher Faktoren, manuelle gegenüber automatisierte Prüfung, sowie Grundkonzepte der ZfP-Zuverlässigkeit. Die Teilnehmer wurden aufgefordert, von einer Sitzung zur anderen zu wechseln und offen ihre Meinung zu äußern. Diese Meinungen wurden am Ende von einer ausgewählten Gruppe von Moderatoren zusammengefasst und werden in diesem Beitrag vorgestellt. KW - NDE reliability KW - POD KW - Bayesian approach KW - Structural health monitoring KW - Human factors KW - Open space technology PY - 2014 UR - http://www.hanser-elibrary.com/doi/pdf/10.3139/120.110604 DO - https://doi.org/10.3139/120.110604 SN - 0025-5300 VL - 56 IS - 7-8 SP - 602 EP - 606 PB - Hanser CY - München AN - OPUS4-31269 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Calmon, P. A1 - Carter, L. A1 - Fisher, J. A1 - Forsyth, D. A1 - Holstein, R. A1 - McGrath, B. A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Rummel, W. A1 - Schubert, F. A1 - Selby, G. T1 - Summary of the open space technology discussions N2 - The highlight of 5th European American Workshop on Reliability of NDE (5th EAW) was the “Open Space Technology“(OST) discussion. The aim of the 5thEAW and, in particular, of the OST discussion - was to shed light on the reasons, which create a “deltcT between all the qualifications and reliability models and the real reliability in the field. In the previous 4 Workshops, the different topics of interest were discussed in the so-called break-out sessions, in which a specific goal for each working group was defined beforehand. In order not to move on “the old rails” in search for an answer, the break-out sessions were this year replaced by an open space approach. The reason for this was not to restrict the participants to a certain number of topics, but rather to allow the topics to arisefrom the interests of the participants and the needs of both the researchers and the NDT practitioners. This was achieved through setting up a wall of ideas. Each of the participantswas asked to write down as many questions or topics as they wanted, and pin them up on the wall throughout the duration of the entire Workshop. Finally, when the participants gathered for the discussion, those ideas were organized into 6 main topics: A. New reliability methods: Multiparameter POD, MAPOD, Bayesian B. Structural health monitoring C. Applications in industry D. Human factors E. Integrated Solutions and “delta" F. Basic concepts of reliability of NDE As in the spirit of the OST, in which the participants themselves determine the topics and decide how the discussion will flow, the participants from the topics C, D and E joined their forces and disused together. The groups separated and, under the moderation of several experts in different NDT reliability fields, the different issues have been discussed. At the end of the day the Groups were asked to present the content and the results of their work. Every group wrote a summary of the discussion. The purpose of this paper is to present the summaries of the held discussions and, therewith, share with the NDT community the main conclusions. T2 - 5th European-American workshop on reliability of NDE CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 07.10.2013 PY - 2013 SN - 978-3-940283-53-5 IS - DGZfP-BB 144 SP - 1 EP - 7 CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-31271 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Determining probability of detection curves using experimental data and simulation N2 - Nondestructive testing (NDT) is routinely used in the nuclear, rail, aerospace and automotive industries to search for flaws in components. A signal from the flaw, recorded by the NDT device, will vary from measurement to measurement. The sources of this innate signal variation can be categorized into intrinsic, human and application factors. This variation, especially when searching for flaws that are at the limits of the NDT detection capabilities, can result in a failure to detect a flaw. If the inspected components are safety critical, the capability of NDT system to find flaws must be determined in order to avoid the catastrophic consequences of a missed flaw. The NDT system capability to detect flaws is expressed in terms of reliability. The probability of detection (POD) curve is a widespread tool to quantify the reliability of NDT. The POD is determined by series of experiments on specimens containing a range of flaws with known characteristics. The production of a sufficient number of these flaws is time consuming and expensive. In this paper, a multi-parameter POD model that uses both simulation and experimental measurements to calculate the POD curves will be presented. Simulation is used to assess the intrinsic capability of the NDT system and the variability in the system is estimated from experimental measurements. The POD calculated with the multi-parameter model is more comprehensive than the one calculated with the traditional model and the number of costly experiments needed is reduced. T2 - InnoTesting Conference 2017 CY - Wildau, Germany DA - 23.02.2017 KW - POD KW - Probability of detection KW - Reliability KW - Ultrasonics KW - Nuclear KW - Railway PY - 2017 AN - OPUS4-39280 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Takahashi, Kazunori A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Rosenthal, Martina A1 - Brekow, Gerhard A1 - Böhm, R. A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Pitkänen, J. T1 - POD Evaluation of NDE Techniques for Canister-Components for Risk Assessment of Nuclear Waste Encapsulation T2 - 6th International Conference on NDE in Relation to Structural Integrity for Nuclear and Pressurised Components CY - Budapest, Hungary DA - 2007-10-08 KW - Zerstörungsfreie Prüfung KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - POD PY - 2008 SN - 978-92-79-08897-1 DO - https://doi.org/10.2790/1274 SN - 1018-5593 SP - 168 EP - 179 AN - OPUS4-18589 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Influence of Flaw Parameters on the POD of the UT NDT System T2 - 17th Annual Research Symposium CY - Anaheim, CA, USA DA - 2008-03-31 PY - 2008 AN - OPUS4-18534 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Investigation of the Influence Material Attenuation on the POD of the Flaws as a Part of Multi-Parameter Analysis T2 - 8th International Conference on NDE in Relation to Structural for Nuclear an Pressurised Components CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2010-09-29 PY - 2010 AN - OPUS4-22453 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Investigation of the Influence of the Material Attenuation on the POD of the Flaws as a Part of Multi-parameter Analysis T2 - ASNT 19th Annual Research Symposium and Spring Conference 2010 CY - Williamsburg, VA, USA DA - 2010-03-22 PY - 2010 AN - OPUS4-22454 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Multiparameter-POD Analyse T2 - 3. GMA-Expertenforum "Neue Entwicklungen in der Messdatenauswertung und Messunsicherheitsbestimmung" CY - Vienna, Austria DA - 2010-03-10 PY - 2010 AN - OPUS4-22427 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Multi-Parameter Influence on the Response of the Flaw to the Phased Array Ultrasonic NDT System. The Volume POD. T2 - 4th European-American Workshop on Reliability CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2009-06-24 PY - 2009 AN - OPUS4-20553 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - The Total Reliability of NDT Methods Used for Inspection of the EB Weld of the Copper Canister used for a Long-term Storage of Spent Nuclear Fuel T2 - 7th international Conference on NDE CY - Yokohama, Japan DA - 2009-05-12 PY - 2009 AN - OPUS4-20548 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - The Total Reliability of Different NDT Methods Used for an Inspection of the Electronic Beam Weld T2 - ASNT Research Symposium CY - St. Louis, MO, USA DA - 2009-03-16 PY - 2009 AN - OPUS4-20550 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Influence of Flaw Parameters on the POD of the UT NDT System T2 - ASNT 17th Annual Research Symposium & Conference CY - Anaheim, CA, USA DA - 2009-03-31 PY - 2009 AN - OPUS4-20551 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Gaal, Mate A1 - Heidt, Heinrich A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Rosenthal, Martina A1 - Takahashi, K. A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Progress in evaluating the reliability of NDE systems - Paradigm shift N2 - The paper will give an overview of new methodology for evaluating the reliability of NDE systems accurately, reliably and efficiently in accordance with the specific requirements of industrial application. After a review of the substantive issues from the previous workshops, the go forward guidance from these interactions is considered. At the beginning of the reliability analysis, the actual safety demands have to be defined in order to fit the investigation to the level of risk when the component would fail. Next, all the essential influencing parameters need to be documented and transferred to an appropriate design of experiments (DOE) to determine the reliability in terms of a qualitative assessment for lower risk or in terms of a quantitative probability of detection (POD) or ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curves for higher safety demands. A new paradigm is offered to consider the POD or reliability of the system as a function of the configuration of input variables and use it for optimisation rather than for a final judgement. An advantage for the end user is also to sample all single PODs to an integral 'Volume POD' of a part. Among the influencing parameters, the human factor is the most important one. A systematic psychological approach shall help to find out where the bottlenecks are but most importantly to provide best possible working conditions for the human inspectors. T2 - 4th European-American workshop on reliability of NDE CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2009-06-24 KW - Zuverlässigkeit von ZfP-Systemen KW - Multiparameter POD PY - 2009 UR - http://www.ndt.net/article/reliability2009/Inhalt/we1a2.pdf SN - 978-3-940283-17-7 IS - DGZfP-BB 116 SP - 1 EP - 13 AN - OPUS4-20616 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Takahashi, K. A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Müller, Christina T1 - Probability of detection from C-scan data for reliability analysis of ultrasonic non-destructive testing T2 - 4th European-American workshop on reliability of NDE CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2009-06-24 KW - POD KW - UT KW - Reliability KW - C-scan PY - 2009 SN - 978-3-940283-17-7 IS - DGZfP-BB 116 SP - 1 EP - 7 AN - OPUS4-20617 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Takahashi, K. A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Müller, Christina T1 - Multi-parameter influence on the response of the flaw to the phased array ultrasonic NDT system. The volume POD. T2 - 4th European-American workshop on reliability of NDE CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2009-06-24 KW - POD KW - Reliability KW - Multi-parameter signal response PY - 2009 SN - 978-3-940283-17-7 IS - DGZfP-BB 116 SP - 1 EP - 6 AN - OPUS4-20618 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Gaal, Mate A1 - Heidt, Heinrich A1 - Rosenthal, Martina A1 - Takahashi, K. A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Fortschritte bei der Bewertung der Zuverlässigkeit von ZfP-Systemen N2 - Es werden die Fortschritte bei der Bewertung der Zuverlässigkeit von ZfP-Systemen in den vergangenen 10 Jahren vorgestellt. Der modulare Ansatz bzw. die systematische Auflistung aller wesentlichen Einflussfaktoren stehen am Anfang jeder Bewertung, die jeweils spezifisch für einen industriellen bzw. Feldeinsatz angelegt wird. Weiterhin legt die zu Grunde liegende Sicherheitsanforderung fest, ob ein exaktes quantitatives statistisches Ergebnis z. B. für die Fehlergröße, die mit hoher Sicherheit detektiert wird angestrebt wird oder ob man sich mit einer qualitativen Abschätzung zufrieden geben kann. Moderne Werkzeuge wie das 'Design of Experiments' (Statistische Versuchsplanung), die Volumen-POD für ein Bauteil als ganzes oder auch die systematische psychologische Betrachtung des menschlichen Faktors unterstützen die Treffsicherheit der Untersuchung für den gewünschten Einsatzfall. Die Ergebnisse der ZfP-Prüfungen können immer nur so gut sein, wie der Mensch mit den Bedingungen zurechtkommt. Weiterhin kann die POD im Zusammenhang mit den Prozessparametern als helfendes Optimierungswerkzeug eingesetzt werden und nicht als endgültige Be(Ver)urteilung. Es werden Beispiele aus Bereichen der Energieerzeugung und Endlagerung präsentiert. T2 - DGZfP-Jahrestagung 2009 CY - Münster, Deutschland DA - 2009-05-18 KW - POD KW - ROC KW - Paradigmenshift KW - Optimierung KW - Human factor PY - 2009 UR - http://www.ndt.net/article/dgzfp2009/Inhalt/mo3c2.pdf SN - 978-3-940283-16-0 IS - DGZfP-BB 115 (Mo.3.C.2) SP - 1 EP - 9 AN - OPUS4-20619 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Takahashi, K. A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Boehm, Rainer A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - NDT Reliability - Final report - Reliability in non-destructive testing (NDT) of the canister components N2 - This report describes the methodology of the reliability investigation performed on the ultrasonic phased array NDT system, developed by SKB in collaboration with Posiva, for inspection of the canisters for permanent storage of nuclear spent fuel. The canister is composed of a cast iron insert surrounded by a copper shell. The shell is composed of the tube and the lid/base which are welded to the tube after the fuel has been place, in the tube. The manufacturing process of the canister parts and the welding process are described. Possible defects, which might arise in the canister components during the manufacturing or in the weld during the welding, are indentified. The number of real defects in manufactured components have been limited. Therefore the reliability of the NDT system has been determined using a number of test objects with artifical defects. The reliability analysis is based on the signal response analysis. The conventional signal response analysis is adopted and further developed before applied on the modern ultrasonic phased-array NDT system. The concept of multi-parameter a, where the response of the NDT system is dependent on more than just one parameter, is introduced. The weakness of use of the peak signal response in the analysis is demonstrated and integration of the amplitudes in the C-scan is proposed as an alternative. The calculation of the volume POD, when the part is inspected with more configurations, is also presented. The reliability analysis is supported by the ultrasonic simulation based on the point source synthesis method. KW - POD KW - Reliability KW - Nuclear waste KW - Final disposal PY - 2008 UR - http://www.skb.se/upload/publications/pdf/R-08-129webb.pdf SN - 1402-3091 SP - 1 EP - 56 CY - Stockholm AN - OPUS4-20620 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Scharmach, Katrin A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Ryden, H. T1 - Zuverlässigkeit von ZfP-Verfahren zur Gewährleistung der Integrität von Cu-Schweißnähten zur sicheren Endlagerung radioaktiver Abfälle KW - Zerstörungsfreie Prüfung KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - POD PY - 2007 SN - 978-3-931381-98-1 SP - 1 EP - 18 (Vortrag 44) PB - DGZfP CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-16007 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Boehm, Rainer A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Investigation of the influence of the material attenuation on the POD of the flaws T2 - 8th International conference on NDE in relation to structural integrity for nuclear and pressurised components CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2010-09-29 KW - POD KW - NDT KW - Attenuation KW - Ultrasonic KW - Reliability PY - 2010 SN - 978-3-940283-30-6 IS - DGZfP-BB 125 (Th.2.B.2) SP - 1 EP - 9 CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-23922 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Kanzler, Daniel A1 - Rosenthal, Martina A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Progress in evaluating the reliability of NDE systems - paradigm shift N2 - The paper will give an overview of new methodology for evaluating the reliability of NDE systems accurately, reliably and efficiently in accordance with the specific requirements of industrial application. After a review of the substantive issues from the previous workshops, the go forward guidance from these interactions is considered. At the beginning of the reliability analysis, the actual safety demands have to be defined in order to fit the investigation to the level of risk when the component would fail. Next, all the essential influencing parameters need to be documented and transferred to an appropriate design of experiments (DOE) to determine the reliability in terms of a qualitative assessment for lower risk or in terms of a quantitative probability of detection (POD) or ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) curves for higher safety demands. A new paradigm is offered to consider the POD or reliability of the system as a function of the configuration of input variables and use it for optimisation rather than for a final judgement. An advantage for the end user is also to sample all single PODs to an integral 'Volume POD' of a part. Among the influencing parameters, the human factor is the most important one. A systematic psychological approach shall help to find out where the bottlenecks are but most importantly to provide best possible working conditions for the human inspectors. T2 - 8th International conference on NDE in relation to structural integrity for nuclear and pressurised components CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2010-09-29 KW - Reliability KW - POD KW - ROC KW - Safety PY - 2010 SN - 978-3-940283-30-6 IS - DGZfP-BB 125 (Th.3.A.4) SP - 1 EP - 10 CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-23923 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Kanzler, Daniel A1 - Milsch, Steffen A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pitkänen, J. T1 - Concept of total reliability of NDT methods for inspection of the EB weld of the copper canister used for a long-term storage of spent nuclear fuel T2 - 8th International conference on NDE in relation to structural integrity for nuclear and pressurised components CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2010-09-29 KW - POD KW - Ultrasonic testing KW - Radiographic testing KW - Eddy current testing PY - 2010 SN - 978-3-940283-30-6 IS - DGZfP-BB 125 (Th.3.A.5) SP - 1 EP - 6 CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-23924 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Evaluation of the Transmit Receive Longitudinal (TRL) Ultrasonic Inspection of the Nodular Cast Iron Insert for Permanent Storage of High-Level Radioactive Waste by Means of Probalbility of Detection T2 - ASNT Spring Research Symposium and Conference CY - San Francisco, CA, USA DA - 2011-03-21 PY - 2011 AN - OPUS4-24590 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Ganzheitliche Zuverlässigkeit - POD der Prüfung von Bauteilen mit komplexer Geometrie T2 - DGZfP-Jahrestagung 2011 CY - Bremen, Germany DA - 2011-05-30 PY - 2011 AN - OPUS4-24584 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Salonen, T. A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - NDT reliability in risk minimization during manufacturing and welding of spent nuclear fuel disposal components - a realistic tool for reliable inspections T2 - 4th European-American workshop on reliability of NDE CY - Berlin, Germany DA - 2009-06-24 KW - NDT reliability KW - Spent nuclear fuel KW - EB-weld PY - 2009 UR - http://www.ndt.net/article/reliability2009/Inhalt/fr1a2.pdf IS - Fr.1.A.2 SP - 1 EP - 21 AN - OPUS4-26082 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Takahashi, Kazunori A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Ronneteg, U. ED - Thompson, D.O. ED - Chimenti, D.E. T1 - Application of POD to complex industrial problems: new approaches N2 - Ultrasonic phased array NDE has been applied to ensure the integrity of canisters for encapsulation of spent nuclear fuel. The performance of the NDE system is evaluated by the POD analysis. The POD analysis using a common method, â versus a, has been modified for the phased array ultrasonic inspections by two approaches: to take more influencing parameters into a, and to use a more sophisticated quantity as â. The POD with new a allows more detailed interpretation of POD for each parameter, and the new â gives more realistic POD. The methods are discussed and demonstrated with experimental data. In addition, an investigation of human factors is being planned and the plan is discussed. KW - Nondestructive testing KW - Probability KW - Ultrasonics KW - Ultrasonic KW - Phased array KW - Probability of Detection (POD) KW - Reliability KW - Nuclear waste PY - 2009 SN - 978-0-7354-0629-2 DO - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3114180 N1 - Serientitel: AIP conference proceedings – Series title: AIP conference proceedings VL - 28 SP - 1824 EP - 1831 AN - OPUS4-26086 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Multi-Parameter Approach to Structural Integrity T2 - 9th International Conference on NDE in Relation to Structural Integrity for Nuclear and Pressurized Components CY - Seattle, WA, USA DA - 2012-05-22 PY - 2012 AN - OPUS4-27006 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Kanzler, Daniel A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Paradigm shift in the holistic evaluation of the reliability of NDE systems N2 - Das Ziel des Artikels ist es eine Übersicht über neue methodische Ansätze und Verfahren zur Bewertung der Zuverlässigkeit von ZfP-Systemen in Übereinstimmung mit den spezifischen Anforderungen verschiedener industrieller Anwendungen zu geben. Nach einem Überblick über die in den vergangenen Jahrzehnten erreichten Fortschritte, wird der Fokus auf die gegenwärtigen Entwicklungen gerichtet. Für hohe Sicherheitsanforderungen wurde die quantitative Fehlerauffindwahrscheinlichkeit (probability of detection, POD) basierend auf 'hit/miss'- oder 'Signal-Response'-Analysen und die ROC-Analyse (Receiver Operating Characteristics) als typische Werkzeuge entwickelt. Im Rahmen des modularen Modells für die ZfP-Zuverlässigkeit unterscheidet man zwischen den rein physikalisch-technischen Einflussfaktoren, den industriellen Anwendungsfaktoren und den menschlichen Faktoren. Es hilft zum Beispiel zu erkennen, welche dieser Faktoren man in Modellierungsrechnungen bzw. mittels offenen oder Blindversuchen untersuchen kann. Ein neues Paradigma wird für die Betrachtung der POD als eine Funktion der gewählten Systemparameter und somit als Optimierungswerkzeug verwendet, anstelle sie für die endgültige Beurteilung zu nehmen. Zur Handhabung der Zuverlässigkeitsuntersuchung von realen Defekten in einer realistischen Umgebung werden ökonomisch vertretbare, aber dennoch präzise genug arbeitende Methoden, wie der Ansatz von Bayes oder modellbasierte Methoden vorgestellt. Die menschlichen Faktoren sind oft von ausschlaggebender Wichtigkeit für die Gesamtzuverlässigkeit. Hier hilft ein systematischer psychologischer Ansatz die Engpässe und Verbesserungsmöglichkeiten zu finden. KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - Modulares Modell KW - POD KW - Human factors PY - 2013 DO - https://doi.org/10.3139/120.110433 SN - 0025-5300 VL - 55 IS - 4 SP - 261 EP - 269 PB - Hanser CY - München AN - OPUS4-28831 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Boller, C. T1 - Safe product design - the role of the NDT reliability analysis N2 - Im Zuge der Anwendung des Schadens-Toleranz-Prinzips wird ein adäquates zerstörungsfreies Prüfsystem benötigt um strukturelle Integrität sicher zu stellen. Wenn ein zerstörungsfreies Prüfsystem jedoch bis zu den Grenzen der Detektionsfähigkeit beansprucht wird, liefert es keine übereinstimmende Indikationen der Defektentdeckung (Hit/Miss). Deshalb wird dessen Fähigkeit Defekte zu entdecken als Entdeckungswahrscheinlichkeit (POD Probability of Detection) ausgedrückt. In der herkömmlichen 'Signal Response' Signal-Antwort-Zuverlässigkeitsanalyse wird die Entdeckungswahrscheinlichkeit als eine Funktion der Defektgröße angegeben. Die Eignung des Prüfsystems wird durch den Vergleich der Größe des Defektes, der zuverlässig entdeckt wird, mit der des größten zulässigen Defektes, der die strukturelle Integrität nicht gefährdet, verifiziert. Analysen moderner Strukturen zeigen aber, dass auch andere Parameter den Schweregrad des Defektes bzgl. der Integrität der Struktur bestimmen können. Im Rahmen der Multi-Parameter-Zuverlässigkeitsanalyse kann die Entdeckungswahrscheinlichkeit als eine Funktion verschiedener Einflussparameter ausgedrückt werden. Wenn die Eignung des zerstörungsfreien Prüfsystems bestimmt wird, muss die Fähigkeit des Systems Defekte zu entdecken gegenüber dem kritischen Wert genau des Parameters ausgedrückt und geprüft werden, der den Schweregrad des Defektes für die Integrität der Struktur bestimmt. Die Nichterfüllung dieser Forderung kann zur Ablehnung von intakten Teilen oder der Akzeptanz von schlechten Teilen führen. Das Prinzip wird anhand von longitudinalen Ultraschall-Sende-Empfangs-Prüfdaten der Gußeisenmatrix mit oberflächenoffenen, semi-elliptischen, rißartigen Defekten demonstriert. KW - POD KW - TRL-UT PY - 2013 DO - https://doi.org/10.3139/120.110434 SN - 0025-5300 VL - 55 IS - 4 SP - 270 EP - 275 PB - Hanser CY - München AN - OPUS4-28829 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Boller, C. T1 - Safe product design - the role of the NDE reliability analysis N2 - When pushed to the limits of their detection capability, NDE systems do not produce consistent hit/miss indications. Their capability of detecting small defects is therefore expressed in terms of POD. An adequate NDE system is required to ensure the structural integrity. In conventional signal response analysis, the POD is expressed as a function of the defect size, and its adequacy for the inspection task is tested against the maximum allowable defect size which will not undermine the structural integrity. Analyses of modern structures show that other parameters, beside the defect size, can both significantly influence the POD and determine the severity of the defect for the structure. Within the multi-parameter reliability analysis, the POD is expressed as a function of those influencing parameters. When determining the adequacy of the NDE system, the capability of detecting a defect has to be expressed and tested against the critical value of exactly that parameter that determines defects severity for the structure. Failing to do so can lead to a rejection of the healthy, or acceptance of the bad part. The principle is demonstrated on the example of the Transmit-Receive Longitudinal (TRL) ultrasonic inspection of the iron cast component for semi-elliptical surface defects. T2 - 18th WCNDT - World conference on nondestructive testing CY - Durban, South Africa DA - 16.04.2012 KW - Reliability KW - Probability of detection (POD) KW - Multi-parameter KW - Ultrasonics KW - Transmit receive longitudinal (TRL) PY - 2012 SN - 978-0-620-52872-6 SP - 1 EP - 9 (Paper 310) AN - OPUS4-27581 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Zoëga, Andreas A1 - Kurz, J. H. A1 - Zanotelli, Christina T1 - Investigations to introduce the probability of detection method for ultrasonic inspection of hollow axles at Deutsche Bahn N2 - The vast experience with the automated, ultrasonic system for the inspection of hollow railway axles used by Deutsche Bahn shows that much smaller flaws are detectable than required. This results in a number of false calls. False calls lead to unnecessary demounting and disassembling of wheelsets, which generates unnecessary additional costs. In order to adjust the sensitivity of the inspection system to reduce the number of false calls without compromising safety, the capability of the system to detect cracks needs to be comprehensively established. This capability can be quantified by using probability of detection (POD) curves for the system. The multi-parameter POD model makes it possible to include several factors that influence the crack detection in the analysis. The analysis presented in this paper shows that crack position, orientation, depth extension, and shape as well as the geometry of the axle all have influence on the ultrasonic response amplitude. For future work, calculation of the POD using multi-parameter POD model with these parameters is planned. T2 - ESIS TC24 Workshop "Integrity of Railway Structures" CY - Leoben, Austria DA - 24.10.2016 KW - Crack KW - Reliability KW - POD KW - Axle KW - Ultrasonic PY - 2017 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-415201 DO - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.prostr.2017.07.002 SN - 2452-3216 VL - 4 SP - 79 EP - 86 PB - Elsevier, B.V. AN - OPUS4-41520 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Takahashi, Kazunori A1 - Müller, Christina T1 - Probability of detection as a function of multiple influencing parameters N2 - It is not always only the size of the flaw that determines the severity of the flaw for the structure. In such cases, it is important to express the capability of the non-destructive testing (NDT) system to detect a flaw with respect to exactly those parameters that determine flaw severity. The multi-parameter reliability model presented in this article shows a way of calculating and expressing the probability of detection (POD) as a function of different influencing parameters, using numerically simulated NDT system responses and experimentally measured responses. A successful application of the model is demonstrated on the data from a transmit-receive longitudinal (TRL) ultrasonic inspection of a cast iron component. The POD of the surface-breaking semi-elliptical crack-like flaw is expressed as a function of its depth and length. In a direct comparison with the conventional signal response analysis, where the POD is expressed as a function of only the flaw size, the method provides a more comprehensive estimation of the reliability of the NDT system. PY - 2012 DO - https://doi.org/10.1784/insi.2012.54.11.606 SN - 0007-1137 VL - 54 IS - 11 SP - 606 EP - 611 PB - British Institute of Non-Destructive Testing CY - Northampton AN - OPUS4-27580 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Kanzler, Daniel A1 - Ewert, Uwe A1 - Pitkänen, J. A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Holistically evaluating the reliability of NDE systems - paradigm shift N2 - New methodologies for evaluating the reliability of NDE systems are discussed in accordance with the specific requirements of industrial application. After a review of the substantive issues from the previous decades, the go forward guidance is concluded. For high safety demands a quantitative probability of detection (POD) created from hit miss experiments or signal response analysis and ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristics) are typically created. The modular model distinguishes between the influence of pure physics and technique, industrial application factors and the human factor and helps to learn what factors are covered by modelling, open or blind trials. A new paradigm is offered to consider the POD or reliability of the system as a function of the configuration of input variables and use it for optimisation rather than for a final judgement. New approaches are considered dealing with real defects in a realistic environment, affordable but precisely like the Bayesian approach or model assisted methods. Among the influencing parameters, the human factor is of high importance. A systematic psychological approach helps to find out where the bottlenecks are and shows possibilities for improvement. T2 - 18th WCNDT - World conference on nondestructive testing CY - Durban, South Africa DA - 16.04.2012 KW - Reliability of NDE KW - POD KW - ROC KW - Modular Model KW - Multiparameter-POD KW - Bayesian Approach KW - Human Factor PY - 2012 SN - 978-0-620-52872-6 SP - 1 EP - 14 (Paper 591) AN - OPUS4-27579 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Kanzler, D. A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Holstein, R. T1 - Aktueller Stand der Diskussion zur Zuverlässigkeit der ZfP und den menschlichen Faktoren N2 - Dass die Zuverlässigkeit der ZfP eine sehr wichtige Rolle bei der Bewertung sicherheitsrelevanter Systeme spielt, ist bekannt. Laut dem modularen Zuverlässigkeitsmodell für zerstörungsfreie Prüfprozesse hängt die Zuverlässigkeit von der innewohnenden (physikalisch-technischen) Fähigkeit der Prüfsystems, den Anwendungsparametern, den menschlichen Faktoren und dem organisatorischen Kontext ab. Seit Einführung des Modells während des ersten Workshops zur Zuverlässigkeit der ZfP (European-American Workshop on Reliability of NDE) wurde das Modell in weiteren fünf Workshops stetig weiterentwickelt, diskutiert und an den Stand der Wissenschaft angepasst. Das Ziel dieser Publikation ist es, den aktuellen Stand der Diskussion und die neusten Fragestellungen der internationalen Zuverlässigkeitsgemeinschaft vorzustellen. Im Einzelnen werden die Entwicklung fortgeschrittener Modelle zur Bewertung der Probability of Detection (POD), Bewertungsansätze im Bereich Structural Health Monitoring und Fragestellungen zu den menschlichen Faktoren dargestellt. Besonderer Wert wurde sowohl auf die Entwicklung, als auch auf die Anwendung der Ansätze in der industriellen Praxis gelegt. T2 - DGZfP-Jahrestagung 2017 CY - Koblenz, Germany DA - 22.05.2017 KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - Zerstörungsfreie Prüfung KW - Probability of detection KW - Human factors KW - Reliability PY - 2017 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-404861 SN - 978-3-940283-85-6 VL - DGZfP-Berichtsband BB 162 SP - 1 EP - 7 AN - OPUS4-40486 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Heckel, Thomas A1 - Zoёga, Andreas T1 - Reliability analysis of the ultrasonic inspection system for the inspection of hollow railway axles N2 - Axles are safety critical train components that are subjected to significant cyclic loading during operation. If the crack is initiated in the axle, cyclic loading will lead to crack propagation. To maintain structural integrity, axles must be periodically inspected for fatigue cracks in the material. Deutsche Bahn uses mechanized ultrasonic inspection system to inspect hollow railway axles. The inspections are performed from the bore surface, using several conventional transducers with different incident angles, inspecting the axle along the entire length. As with the every safety critical system, the reliability of these inspections must be determined with regard to their flaw detection capabilities. Traditionally this is done according to the relevant standards for railway vehicles. To investigate the capability of the NDT system more thoroughly, we want to evaluate the capability of the inspection system to detect flaws by means of probability of detection (POD) curves. It will be shown that other parameters, beside the size of the crack, for example crack position in the axle, influence the detection of the crack. The influence of these parameters was evaluated using ultrasonic simulation. The evaluation served as an input for the manufacturing of the flaws in the real scale axle. Once these axles are inspected and the data evaluated, using data from both measurement and simulation, we will express the POD of the crack as function of influencing parameters using the multiparameter POD model. T2 - 19th Wolrd Conference on Nondestructive Testing CY - Munich, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - POD KW - Railway KW - Axle KW - Safety KW - Reliability KW - Ultrasonics PY - 2016 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-366996 VL - 2016/158 SP - Tu.3.D.5 PB - Deutsche Gesellschaft für zerstörungsfreie Prüfung (DGZfP) CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-36699 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Ronneteg, U. T1 - Reliability Analysis of the Phased-Array Ultrasonic System used for the Inspection of Friction Stir Welds N2 - The canister for the permanent storage of spent nuclear fuel used by SKB in Sweden consists of a cast iron insert surrounded by a five centimetre thick shell of copper. It is a safety critical component and in order to secure long-term structural integrity non-destructive methods are used to inspect 100% of the volume of each canister, before it is disposed of in the repository. One of the critical components that requires inspection is a sealing weld, joining the copper tube and the lid. The friction stir weld is inspected using an ultrasonic phased array system. The area of the weld is inspected with several inspection channels with different angles and varying coverage. To make sure that no defects that might occur in the weld are overseen, the reliability of the inspection must be quantified. The reliability of NDT is usually quantified with the probability of detection curves. The influence of the parameters that might influence the POD of the flaws in the weld is investigated analysing the experimental results, as well as with a help of a numerical simulation of the inspection. T2 - 19th Wolrd Conference on Nondestructive Testing CY - Munich, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - NDT KW - Ultrasonic KW - Reliability KW - POD KW - Copper KW - FSW KW - JLH PY - 2016 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-366982 VL - 2016/158 SP - We.4.E.5 PB - Deutsche Gesellschaft für zerstörungsfreie Prüfung (DGZfP) CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-36698 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Ganzheitliche Zuverlässigkeit - Prüfung von Bauteilen mit komplexer Geometrie N2 - Selbst die modernsten ZfP-Systeme können, wenn sie bis an die Grenzen ihrer Möglichkeiten z. B. kleine Fehler zu finden beansprucht werden, nicht alle Fehler der gleichen Größe finden. Sogar wenn ein und derselbe Fehler mehrmals geprüft wird, wird er nicht immer gefunden. Deshalb wurde, besonders für solche Anwendungsfälle wo das Übersehen eines Fehlers zu schwerwiegenden Konsequenzen führt, das Konzept der Zuverlässigkeit der ZfP eingeführt. Das Konzept der BAM beinhaltet eine ganzheitliche Betrachtungsweise mittels eines modularen Models. Die Hauptmodule des Modells sind die innewohnende Fähigkeit, die die physikalisch technischen Aspekte behandelt. Weiterhin werden die Einflüsse der Umgebung betrachtet, die den Prüfprozess stören, aber nicht zum Prüfsystem selbst gehören. Einen wesentlichen Aspekt, sowohl bei manuellen als auch bei mechanisierten Prüfungen stellt der menschliche Faktor dar. Die Betrachtungen im vorliegenden Artikel beziehen sich hauptsächlich auf die innewohnende Fähigkeit. Wegen der dem Prüfprozess innewohnenden Unsicherheit wird die Leistungsfähigkeit eines ZfP-Systems durch eine Funktion POD (a) ausgedrückt. Zu verschiedenen Fehlergrößen (a) gehören verschiedene Fehlerauffindwahrscheinlichkeiten (POD). Die Fehlergröße (a), bei der die untere 95 % Vertrauensgrenze das Niveau von 90 % POD schneidet wird α90/95 genannt. Dieser Punkt wird als Maß für das Leistungsvermögen der ZfP-Methode benutzt. Während der letzten 10-20 Jahre wurden auf diese Weise verschiedene Inspektionssysteme für eine gewählte ZfP-Methode mit einer einfachen Anwendungsgeometrie bewertet. Wenn man über diese einfachen Anwendungssituationen hinaus, die Zuverlässigkeit in realen industriellen Prozessen betrachtet, treten als erstes industrielle Bauteile mit komplexer Geometrie und Defekte, die mit mehr als nur einem Parameter (Größe und Tiefe, Orientierung, Oberflächenrauhigkeit) charakterisiert werden müssen, auf die Tagesordnung. Neue hochentwickelte und automatisierte ZfP-Systeme, wie z. B. Ultraschallgruppenstrahler, lassen die Möglichkeit zu die Prüfungen digital aufzuzeichnen und später erst auszuwerten. Weiterhin erlauben es moderne Modellierungswerkzeuge den ZfP-Prozess zu simulieren und damit die Einflüsse der Wellenausbreitung und deren Wechselwirkung mit Defekten sowie die Wirkung der zusätzlichen Einflussparameter (z. B. Abstand vom Prüfkopf oder Orientierung) auf die POD zu untersuchen. Damit entsteht die Möglichkeit die räumliche Verteilung der POD im Prüfstück zu ermitteln – die Volumen-POD. Die Volumen-POD kann ebenso wie die konventionelle POD als Maß für die Leistungsfähigkeit des ZfP-Systems benutzt werden. Darüber hinaus kann man das ZfP-System optimieren. Wenn z. B. bestimmte Volumenelemente nur ungenügende POD-Werte aufweisen, müssen zusätzliche Prüfungen einbezogen werden. Aber auch der umgekehrte Fall, Bereiche in denen mehrere Prüfköpfe ein POD Niveau von 100 % haben und die Zahl der Prüfungen reduziert werden kann, werden mit der Volumen-POD erkannt. T2 - DGZfP-Jahrestagung 2011 CY - Bremen, Germany DA - 30.05.2011 KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - ZfP KW - Volumen-POD KW - Produkt-Design PY - 2011 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-251607 SN - 978-3-940283-33-7 VL - 127 SP - Mi.3.C.1 - 1 EP - 7 PB - Deutsche Gesellschaft für Zerstörungsfreie Prüfung (DGZfP) AN - OPUS4-25160 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Zoёga, Andreas A1 - Kurz, J. H. A1 - Oelschlägel, T. A1 - Rohrschneider, A. A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Hintze, H. A1 - Kanzler, D. T1 - Investigations to introduce the probability of detection method for ultrasonic inspection of hollow axles at Deutsche Bahn N2 - Currently at Deutsche Bahn (DB) ultrasonic inspections in maintenance procedures for wheelset axles with a bore hole are, to the greatest possible extent, carried out using automated ultrasonic inspection system. Although the acceptance levels are in accordance with DIN 27201 part 7, the testing results have shown in recent years that in the case of true indications, the effective defect sizes were far below the level of acceptance. Due to this experience it can be assumed that the automated ultrasonic inspection systems are testing substantially more sensitively than required. This increased sensitivity leads to an increase in false indications, generally resulting in the unnecessary demounting of wheelsets. In Research cooperation between Federal Institute for Materials Research and Testing (BAM) and DB the effective flaw detection sensitivity of existing automated ultrasonic inspection system will be determined and the true/false indication ratio optimised. Through systematic investigations with the Probability of Detection method on the existing automated ultrasonic inspection system the results could be directly applied to the optimisation of existing ultrasonic inspections of wheelset axles with a bore hole in maintenance procedures and the level of reliability can be considerably increased. T2 - 19th World Conference on Non-Destructive Testing CY - München, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - NDT KW - Reliability KW - POD KW - Railway KW - Axles KW - UT PY - 2016 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-375813 UR - http://www.ndt.net/article/wcndt2016/papers/we2g4.pdf SP - id 19515, 1 EP - 8 AN - OPUS4-37581 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Ronneteg, U. A1 - Grybäck, T. A1 - Bertovic, Marija A1 - Müller, Christina A1 - Pavlovic, Mato T1 - Safe for 1 million years – NDT matters! N2 - The General Guidance in the Swedish regulations state that the safety assessment for a final repository for spent nuclear fuel should be 1 million years after closure. SKB developed the KBS-3 method, according to which the spent nuclear fuel is protected by three barriers. It is encapsulated in canisters with a diameter of 1 metre and a length of 5 metres. The canister consists of a cast iron insert surrounded by a 5 centimetre thick shell of copper. The canisters are disposed in the bedrock at a depth of about 500 meters surrounded by bentonite clay. In order to assess the safety over this extremely long period, an extensive quality control programme is applied to the canisters before deposit. In this programme, the use of non-destructive testing (NDT) is vital. The safety assessment of the canister in turn places high demands on the coverage, detectability, and reliability of the applied NDT inspections of the canister parts, i.e. cast iron insert, copper base, tube and lid, and the copper friction stir welds (FSW). This paper presents the extensive full-scale inspection development programme that runs at the Canister Laboratory in Oskarshamn (Sweden). In order to fulfil the high demands, phased array ultrasonic inspection techniques are developed using practical trials aided by ultrasonic modelling. The techniques apply, for example, different frequencies, inspection angles, focus depths, and both longitudinal and shear waves. Increased inspection reliability of the FSW is achieved by applying digital X-ray technique using a 9 MeV linear accelerator and a line detector. To complete the coverage, complementary surface inspections methods, i.e. eddy current array, magnetic flux sensor techniques and magnetic particle inspection, are applied. The canister safety assessment was the driving force to include reliability studies during the NDT development. Initially, the technical reliability was considered, resulting in development of advanced POD models (probability of detection). In combination with human factors studies, these models were implemented as tools in the development of the NDT techniques. Human factors studies were also applied to improve the inspection procedures to be more user-friendly enabling reliable inspections. T2 - 19th World Conference on Non-Destructive Testing CY - München, Germany DA - 13.06.2016 KW - NDT KW - Reliability KW - Spent nuclear fuel PY - 2016 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-375785 UR - http://www.ndt.net/article/wcndt2016/papers/we4e4.pdf SP - id 19464, 1 EP - 9 AN - OPUS4-37578 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - CONF A1 - Kanzler, D. A1 - Pavlovic, Mato A1 - Bertovic, Marija T1 - Zukünftige Möglichkeiten und Pflichten der zerstörungsfreien Prüfung N2 - In unserer heutigen Zeit werden die Zwischenräume innerhalb der einzelnen Abteilungen eines Betriebs und zwischen einzelnen nationalen oder globalen Akteuren immer wichtiger: Produzierbarkeit vs. Wirtschaftlichkeit, Fortschritt vs. Nachhaltigkeit. Auch die zerstörungsfreie Prüfung (ZfP) – bisher hauptsächlich als Endkontrolle oder Wartungselement wahrgenommen – kann und sollte im Wandel der Digitalisierung und Industrie 4.0 einen neuen Stellenwert erhalten. Die ZfP kann schon während der Konstruktion helfen, sichere und zuverlässige Produkte zu erstellen. Jedoch müssen dafür eine adäquate Informationskultur und die notwendigen Kennzahlen vorhanden sein. Objektive, probabilistische Kennzahlen (wie die POD - Auffindwahrscheinlichkeit) sind hierbei der Schlüssel. Diese müssen jedoch unbedingt an Prüfverfahren, Prüfgegenstand und Prüfbedingung angepasst werden, da sonst die gesamte Aussage in Frage zu stellen ist. Im Vortrag werden Beispiele aus der Anwendung gezeigt, die die Aussagekraft der Kennzahl aber auch die Sorgfalt, mit denen die einzelnen Aussagen genutzt werden, unterstrichen werden soll. Bewertung von Daten von realen Fehler, Anpassung an die Bruchfestigkeit und die Betrachtung von mehreren Prüfparametern am Beispiel der Bewertung von radiographischen, Ultraschall- und Wirbelstromprüfung werden in dem Vortrag gezeigt. T2 - DGZfP-Jahrestagung 2017 CY - Koblenz, Germany DA - 22.05.2017 KW - Zuverlässigkeit KW - Zerstörungsfreie Prüfung PY - 2017 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-404877 SN - 978-3-940283-85-6 VL - DGZfP-Berichtsband BB 162 SP - 1 EP - 6 AN - OPUS4-40487 LA - deu AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -