TY - JOUR A1 - Titscher, Thomas A1 - van Dijk, T. A1 - Kadoke, Daniel A1 - Robens-Radermacher, Annika A1 - Herrmann, Ralf A1 - Unger, Jörg F. T1 - Bayesian model calibration and damage detection for a digital twin of a bridge demonstrator JF - Engineering reports N2 - Using digital twins for decision making is a very promising concept which combines simulation models with corresponding experimental sensor data in order to support maintenance decisions or to investigate the reliability. The quality of the prognosis strongly depends on both the data quality and the quality of the digital twin. The latter comprises both the modeling assumptions as well as the correct parameters of these models. This article discusses the challenges when applying this concept to realmeasurement data for a demonstrator bridge in the lab, including the data management, the iterative development of the simulation model as well as the identification/updating procedure using Bayesian inference with a potentially large number of parameters. The investigated scenarios include both the iterative identification of the structural model parameters as well as scenarios related to a damage identification. In addition, the article aims at providing all models and data in a reproducibleway such that other researcher can use this setup to validate their methodologies. KW - Damage detection KW - Finite element analysis KW - Load identification KW - Model updating KW - Estimation KW - System identification KW - Variational Bayesian statistics PY - 2023 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-574496 DO - https://doi.org/10.1002/eng2.12669 SN - 2577-8196 SP - 1 EP - 27 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken, NJ AN - OPUS4-57449 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Coelho Lima, Isabela A1 - Robens-Radermacher, Annika A1 - Titscher, Thomas A1 - Kadoke, Daniel A1 - Koutsourelakis, P.-S. A1 - Unger, Jörg F. T1 - Bayesian inference for random field parameters with a goal-oriented quality control of the PGD forwardmodel's accuracy JF - Computational mechanics N2 - Numerical models built as virtual-twins of a real structure (digital-twins) are considered the future ofmonitoring systems. Their setup requires the estimation of unknown parameters, which are not directly measurable. Stochastic model identification is then essential, which can be computationally costly and even unfeasible when it comes to real applications. Efficient surrogate models, such as reduced-order method, can be used to overcome this limitation and provide real time model identification. Since their numerical accuracy influences the identification process, the optimal surrogate not only has to be computationally efficient, but also accurate with respect to the identified parameters. This work aims at automatically controlling the Proper Generalized Decomposition (PGD) surrogate’s numerical accuracy for parameter identification. For this purpose, a sequence of Bayesian model identification problems, in which the surrogate’s accuracy is iteratively increased, is solved with a variational Bayesian inference procedure. The effect of the numerical accuracy on the resulting posteriors probability density functions is analyzed through two metrics, the Bayes Factor (BF) and a criterion based on the Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergence. The approach is demonstrated by a simple test example and by two structural problems. The latter aims to identify spatially distributed damage, modeled with a PGD surrogate extended for log-normal random fields, in two different structures: a truss with synthetic data and a small, reinforced bridge with real measurement data. For all examples, the evolution of the KL-based and BF criteria for increased accuracy is shown and their convergence indicates when model refinement no longer affects the identification results. KW - Variational inference KW - Proper generalized decomposition KW - Goal-oriented KW - Digital twin KW - Random field PY - 2022 UR - https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:kobv:b43-555755 DO - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00466-022-02214-6 SN - 1432-0924 SP - 1 EP - 22 PB - Springer CY - Berlin AN - OPUS4-55575 LA - eng AD - Bundesanstalt fuer Materialforschung und -pruefung (BAM), Berlin, Germany ER -