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User tailored results of a regional climate model ensemble to plan adaption to the changing climate in Germany

  • In the German regional climate modeling project ReKliEs-De the existing EURO-CORDEX simulations have been systematically complemented by new simulations to derive more robust ranges of possible future climate change. The focus of the project lay on user tailored results, which are required for the planning of measures to adapt to the changing climate. Changes in temperature and precipitation indices are calculated from a multi model ensemble for the end of the 21st century. The results for the mitigation scenario RCP2.6 are compared to the results of the “business as usual” scenario RCP8.5. Averaged over Germany the increase of mean annual temperature and of the number of summer days will be around 3 times higher for RCP8.5 than for RCP2.6. In summer, the increase of dry days could be twice as high in RCP8.5 compared to RCP2.6.

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Author: Katharina Bülow, Heike Hübener, Klaus KeulerORCiD, Christoph Menz, Susanne Pfeifer, Hans Ramthun, Arne Spekat, Christian Steger, Claas Teichmann, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi
DOI:https://doi.org/10.5194/asr-16-241-2019
ISSN:1992-0636
ISSN:1992-0628
Title of the source (English):Advances in Science and Research
Document Type:Scientific journal article peer-reviewed
Language:English
Year of publication:2019
Volume/Year:16
First Page:241
Last Page:249
Faculty/Chair:Fakultät 2 Umwelt und Naturwissenschaften / FG Atmosphärische Prozesse
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