TY - RPRT A1 - Böhm, Uwe A1 - Kücken, Martin A1 - Ahrens, Wilfried A1 - Block, Alexander A1 - Hauffe, Detlef A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Rockel, Burkhardt A1 - Will, Andreas T1 - CLM - The Climate Version of LM: Brief Description and Long-Term Applications Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.cosmo-model.org/content/model/documentation/newsLetters/newsLetter06/cnl6_clm.pdf PB - COSMO Newsletter CY - Offenbach, Germany ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Block, Alexander A1 - Ahrens, Wilfried A1 - Jacob, Daniela A1 - Rechid, Diana A1 - Kotova, Lola A1 - Kotlarski, Sven A1 - Heimann, Dietrich A1 - Zemsch, Maria A1 - Knoche, Richard A1 - Dittmann, Ernst A1 - Walter, Andreas A1 - Berger, Franz A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - Quantifizierung von Ungenauigkeiten regionaler Klima- und Klimaänderungssimulationen (QUIRCS). Zusammenfassung der wesentlichen Ergebnisse eines Projektes des deutschen Klimaforschungsprogramms DEKLIM N2 - Das Projekt QUIRCS (“Quantification of Uncertainties in Regional Climate and Climate-Change Simulations“) ist eines von insgesamt37Verbundforschungsprojekten, die im Rahmen des Deutschen Klimaforschungsprogramms DEKLIM vom BMBF als Beitrag zum Teilbereich „Klima-forschung und Vorhersagbarkeit“ gefördert worden sind [DEKLIM, 2005]. Unter der Koordination des Lehrstuhls Umweltmeteorologie der Brandenburgischen Technischen Universität (BTU) Cottbus waren 6 Institutionen mit insgesamt 13 Mitarbeitern über 4 Jahre an der Durchführung des Projektes beteiligt. Der vorliegende Bericht gibt einen Überblick über die verschiedenen Aufgabenstellungen und fasst die wesentlichen Ergebnisse des Projektes zusammen. Y1 - 2006 UR - https://www-docs.b-tu.de/fg-meteorologie/public/publikationen/quircs_abschlussbericht.pdf ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Block, Alexander A1 - Ahrens, Wilfried A1 - Jacob, Daniela A1 - Rechid, Diana A1 - Kotova, Lola A1 - Kotlarski, Sven A1 - Heimann, Dietrich A1 - Zemsch, Maria A1 - Knoche, Richard A1 - Dittmann, Ernst A1 - Walter, Andreas A1 - Berger, Franz A1 - Sommer, Michael T1 - QUIRCS: Quantification of uncertainties in regional climate and climate change simulations. German Climate Research Programme (2001-2006), Final Symposium 2005 N2 - The comparison of multi model runs of the reference period 1979-1993 with different observational data sets for several climate parameters enables the quantification of the model uncertainties in representing present-day climate conditions for Central Europe. The quantification is based on a number of objective distance measures which detect differences in the spatial and temporal structures of the data sets being compared. Additional climate change simulations of two 30-year periods (control and scenario simulation) are performed for the SRES B2 global change scenario. They indicate a severe warming for Germany with values of up to 4 K in summer which is much higher than the quantified uncertainty range of the regional models for this climate parameter. For precipitation in Germany, a weak reduction during the summer months is overcompensated by an increase in winter and fall. However, the simulated changes are smaller than the quantified uncertainty range for the regional models so that in particular a significant reduction of the annual precipitation in Germany cannot be stated on basis of the current simulations for the B2 scenario. Aim of the research in the context of DEKLIM A reliable assessment of possible future climate developments requires an improved understanding of climate and its variability as well as a detailed knowledge of the uncertainties of climate simulations which provide the requested information about the potential degree of future changes. The project QUIRCS focuses on the climate patterns of Central Europe and investigates the quality of currently used regional climate models and regionalization techniques by a model inter-comparison, a substantial model evaluation, additional sensitivity studies and an extensive analysis of climate data. The major scientific aims are • to quantify the uncertainties of regional climate simulations and of observed climate data, • to provide a regional climate change scenario for Europe with a particular focus on Germany, • to assess the reliability of the produced climate change signals with respect to the Collapse. KW - regional climate simulation KW - model evaluation KW - uncertainty KW - climate change KW - climate data Y1 - 2005 UR - http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.596.557&rep=rep1&type=pdf PB - DLR CY - Bonn ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Knoche, Hans-Richard A1 - Jacob, Daniela T1 - Möglichkeiten und Grenzen regionaler Klimamodelle T2 - Regionale Klimamodelle – Potentiale, Grenzen und Perspektiven Y1 - 2010 UR - https://www.dkn-future-earth.org/imperia/md/content/dkn/regionale_klimamodelle_low.pdf SN - 978-3-9813068-1-1 PB - Nationales Komitee für Global Change Forschung c/o Institut für Weltwirtschaft CY - Kiel ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Leins, Johannes A. A1 - Radtke, Kai A1 - Schulz, Björn A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Modelling the cost-effective spatio-temporal allocation of conservation measures in agricultural landscapes facing N2 - Beiträge zur Jahrestagung des Vereins für Socialpolitik 2021: Climate Economics Y1 - 2021 UR - http://hdl.handle.net/10419/242352 PB - ZBW-Leibnitz Information Centre for Economics CY - Kiel ; Hamburg ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Leins, Johannes A. A1 - Radtke, Kai A1 - Schulz, Björn A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Cost-effective conservation in the face of climate change: combining ecological-economic modelling and climate science for the cost-effective spatio-temporal allocation of conservation measures in agricultural landscapes T2 - MPRA paper Y1 - 2021 UR - https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/105608/ ER - TY - GEN A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Leins, Johannes A. A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - A quantitative approach for the design of robust and cost-effective conservation policies under uncertain climate change: The case of grasshopper conservation in Schleswig-Holstein, Germany T2 - Journal of Environmental Management Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2021.113201 SN - 1095-8630 SN - 0301-4797 VL - 296 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Kuhn, Ramona A1 - Jensch, Robert A1 - Fischer, Thomas A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Bryant, Isaac Mbir A1 - Martienssen, Marion T1 - Sunlight Degradation of the Aminophosphonate Diethylenetriamine Penta-(Methylenephosphonic Acid) T2 - Solar N2 - Aminophosphonate diethylenetriamine penta(methylenephosphonic acid) (DTPMP) is a scale inhibitor commonly used in several industries. DTPMP is suspected to cause anthropogenic pollution through discharge into the aquatic environment. DTPMP is assumed to be degraded by sunlight radiation. We recently predicted a preliminary degradation pathway of DTPMP applyingUV treatment. Currently, we have not yet evidenced that DTPMP shows the same degradation pattern with natural sunlight. One major reason leads to the fact that the light spectrum emitted by UV lamps does not completely represent the natural sunlight spectrum, and the emitted UVB and UVA irradiation flux is much higher than for solar light. For that reason, the degradation pattern and kinetics might be different between artificial UV treatment and natural sunlight treatment. Here, we investigated whether DTPMP is degradable under natural sunlight radiation, and whether the degradation mechanisms determined through UV treatment are transferable to sunlight. We investigated five different treatment conditions, i.e., DTPMP degradation in direct or diffuse sunlight, in diffuse sunlight with addition of Ca2+ or Mg2+, and in diffuse sunlight with local TW. Our experiment was carried out from March 2021 to October 2021. We performed LC/MS analyses and measured the release of o-PO4 3  . DTPMP was degraded with all five treatment conditions. The fastest DTPMP degradation occurred in direct and diffuse sunlight without addition of bivalent cations. The addition of Ca2+ and Mg2+ resulted in inhibited degradation. Similar effects occurred for sunlight treatment with local TW. We evidenced different degradation mechanisms for DTPMP depending on the presence of alkaline earth metals as we previously proposed for UV-treated DTPMP. However, both degradation mechanisms of DTPMP belong to the same degradation pathway determined with UV treatment. Therefore, we conclude that DTPMP undergoes a similar degradation pathway in sunlight as compared to UV light. KW - Photochemistry Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/solar2020009 SN - 2673-9941 VL - 2 IS - 2 SP - 141 EP - 157 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Time to consider the timing of conservation measures: designing cost-effective agri-environment schemes under climate change T2 - MPRA paper Y1 - 2022 UR - https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/113877/ ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Leins, Johannes A. A1 - Radtke, Kai A1 - Schulz, Björn A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Climate-ecological-economic modelling for the cost-effective spatiotemporal allocation of conservation measures in cultural landscapes facing climate change T2 - Q Open Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/qopen/qoac004 SN - 2633-9048 VL - 2 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 20 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Radtke, Kai A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Leins, Johannes A. T1 - Ökonomie der Klimaanpassung zum Schutz der biologischen Vielfalt ; Postervorstellung : BfN Statuskonferenz "Biodiversität und Klimawandel - Synergien erforschen" in Berlin, 7.12.2023 Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.2.16540.97923 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Herrmann, Frank A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Wolters, Tim A1 - Bergmann, Sabine A1 - Eisele, Michael A1 - Wendland, Frank T1 - Mit der Modellkette RCP-GCM-RCM-mGROWA projizierte Grundwasserneubildung als Datenbasis für zukünftiges Grundwassermanagement in Nordrhein-Westfalen T2 - Grundwasser N2 - Mit einem Multi-Modell-Ensemble wurde analysiert, wie sich der Klimawandel auf den Grundwasserhaushalt in Nordrhein-Westfalen (NRW) auswirkt. Hierzu wurden Projektionen der zukünftigen Grundwasserneubildung für insgesamt 36 Mitglieder der Modellkette RCP-GCM-RCM-mGROWA, bestehend aus 3 RCP-Szenarien zukünftiger globaler Erwärmung, 6 globalen und 5 dynamischen regionalen Klimamodellen sowie dem Wasserhaushaltsmodell mGROWA, vorgenommen. Mit dem Ensemble wurden für die hydrogeologischen Großräume NRWs nur teilweise signifikante Änderungen der jährlichen Grundwasserneubildung in den Perioden 2011–2040, 2041–2070 und 2071–2100 projiziert. Ein Robustheitstest mit zwei Kriterien (Übereinstimmung und Signifikanz der Änderungssignale) liefert keine belastbare Begründung dafür, dass sich die Grundwasserneubildung bis 2100 systematisch und signifikant ändern wird. Aus statistischer Perspektive wird deshalb die Schlussfolgerung gezogen, dass in NRW langfristig eine Grundwasserneubildung erwartet werden kann, die sich nicht grundlegend vom Niveau der Periode 1971–2000 unterscheidet. Hydro-meteorologisch befindet sich NRW in einer Übergangszone, in der eine Zunahme der Winterniederschläge die Wirkung der Erwärmung auf die Grundwasserneubildung wahrscheinlich kompensiert. KW - Grundwasserneubildung KW - Nordrhein-Westfalen KW - mGROWA KW - Klimawandel KW - Multi-Modell-Ensemble KW - Robustheit KW - Groundwater recharge KW - North Rhine-Westphalia KW - Climate change impact KW - Multi-model ensemble KW - Robustness Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00767-020-00471-x SN - 1430-483X SN - 1432-1165 VL - 26 IS - 1 SP - 17 EP - 31 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Time to consider the timing of conservation measures: Designing cost-effective agri-environment schemes under climate change T2 - Agricultural and Resource Economics Review Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1017/age.2023.4 SN - 2372-2614 SN - 1068-2805 VL - 52 IS - 2 SP - 231 EP - 249 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Gerling, Charlotte A1 - Drechsler, Martin A1 - Keuler, Klaus A1 - Leins, Johannes A1 - Schulz, Björn A1 - Sturm, Astrid A1 - Wätzold, Frank T1 - Effektivität und Kosteneffizienz von Artenschutzmaßnahmen unter Klimawandel - das Beispiel der Sumpfschrecke (Stethophyma grossum) in Schleswig-Holstein T2 - Natur und Landschaft Y1 - 2025 SN - 0028-0615-202501 VL - 100. Jahrgang 2025 IS - 1 SP - 2 EP - 8 ER -